GEMS96 – 100 CONF
57.9%
WAGERBIRD RESULTS LEDGER · LOADING WINDOW · FEED LIVE
Every signal the WagerBird model published is logged here. Wins, losses, pushes, and net points. Confidence is both the price and the position size, so like any market there are winning and losing periods; the discipline shows over time. Filter by sport, confidence band, or date.
// TIME WINDOW
// CONFIDENCE TIER
// SPORT
// CONFIDENCE BAND STRATIFICATION
The model rates every pick 25 to 100. Bands below break the same 90d into GEMS, WB3, WB2, and WB1 tiers at the pick level so the relationship between conviction and outcome is auditable. Small samples carry their own variance.
Confidence is position size. A pick rated 92 risks 1.84× the points of a pick rated 50. The model’s conviction is the risk multiplier, not a narrative.
GEMs carry the book. When 92-confidence picks hit at a higher rate than 50-confidence picks, which the bands above show, net points grow faster than the headline hit rate would suggest.
That’s why mid-50s works here.A 54-56% card hit rate is the structural outcome of weighting bigger on the picks the model trusts most, not “nothing special.”
// HOW PICKS ARE RATED
Confidence is the points risked. A pick rated 80 risks 80 points; a 100-confidence GEM risks 100. If you think in units, divide by 20 — an 80 is 4u, a 100 is 5u. Same rating, your scale.
// SPORT BREAKDOWN
One sport carrying a rough week is not the model breaking. Per- market hit rates and net points across 90d.
// LEDGER
The model was live on every pick shown here. Wins and losses in the same feed. Default sort is most recent so the top of the ledger always reflects the latest graded date. Publicly visible results are capped at the last 90 days.
Publicly displayed results are capped at the last 90 days. The complete historical ledger is available inside the Terminal.
// WAGERBIRD TERMINAL
Confidence-scored signals. Pricing in Points. Results logged automatically.