New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Mon, Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 45 books
- 50.5 (20 consensus books · 45 tracked)
- Market Move
- 50.5 to 50 (0.5 pts toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 15 · At close: 1 · Behind: 6 (22 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- NE 42.6% · DET 57.4%
- Consensus Spread
- DET -2.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- NE 24 – DET 26.5
Market Brief: NE @ DET Total
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 50.5 -101 / Under 50.5 +101 across 20 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 49.5 -110 at BetMGM; Under 50.5 -118 at DraftKings.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 50.5 to 50 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 47 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the NE @ DET total consensus line and best price per side?
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 50.5 -101 / Under 50.5 +101 across 20 consensus sportsbooks (45 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 49.5 -110 at BetMGM; Under 50.5 -118 at DraftKings.
How has the NE @ DET total moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 50.5 to 50 toward Under (0.5 pts) across 47 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for NE @ DET total?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Why is the NE @ DET total moving?
- Market consensus moved from 51 to 50.5 toward Under across 23 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market consensus moved from 50.75 to 51.25 toward Over across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 19 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NE @ DET Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 45 sportsbooks, consensus 50.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: NE @ DET Total
Across 45 tracked sportsbooks, the NE @ DET total moved from an opening number of 50.5 to 50 toward Under (0.5 pts).
Best current licensed partner quotes: Over 49.5 -110 at BetMGM; Under 50.5 -118 at DraftKings. Quoting books currently span 1.0 pt across the market.
NFL Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 71.4% of moved lines ahead of close (15 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 6 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9
Release Record — NFL game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 15-7, +21.7u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-detroit-lions-total-2026-11-15-35140" title="New England Patriots at Detroit Lions Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-detroit-lions-total-2026-11-15-35140">NE @ DET Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>