Passing production, costly mistakes
Drake Maye passed for 321 yards and two touchdowns at Chicago, but an end-zone interception interrupted a scoring chance. New England carries a -7 turnover differential.
Sun 11/8Packers at Patriots3:25 PM CT · 4:25 PM ETKickoff in5days:13hrs:15min
NFL team briefing
New England Patriots
Packers at Patriots odds, injury report and pick ·
Sun 11/8vs Packers3:25 PM CT 4:25 PM ET
Patriots −3Total 46.5Patriots ML −155Kalshi Patriots 62¢ at 1:29 AM CT Tue 11/3Lines at 1:00 AM CT
Patriots team intelligence
The Patriots: what our research says
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Dolphins game.
New England reaches Miami at 4-3, with a 3-0 home record and a 1-3 road mark. The 24-30 loss at Chicago ended a three-game winning streak against Buffalo, Las Vegas and the Jets. The Patriots sit second in the AFC East.
Right nowWon last game
New England is 4-3, with a 3-0 home record and a 1-3 road record. They are second in the AFC East.
The market
- Patriots spread−2.5 → −3
- Total47.5 → 46.5
- Kalshi, Patriots to win62¢
- The market gives the Patriots about a 62% chance to win. A contract that pays $1 if they win costs 62¢. In sportsbook odds, that is about -163. Kalshi price at 1:29 AM CT Tue 11/3.
The news
Offense adds cover for missing players
A.J. Brown and TreVeyon Henderson have been ruled out. New England signed Lan Larison from the practice squad and elevated Ryan Miller to provide additional options.
Regular secondary close to returning
Christian Gonzalez, Carlton Davis III, Kevin Byard III and Craig Woodson are expected together for the first time since Week 1. Davis remains questionable because of his neck injury.
Guard choices remain unconfirmed
Mike Vrabel did not confirm whether Walter Rouse and Matt Pryor would remain at guard. The posted chart lists Rouse and Ben Brown; the lineup shown is a projection, with Kyle Williams and Jarrett Kingston filling in for unavailable players.
Injuries
Patriots
- A.J. BrownOut
- TreVeyon HendersonOut
- Marcus BryantOut
- Carlton Davis IIIQuestionable
- Christian EllissQuestionable
- Alijah Vera-TuckerOut
- Romeo DoubsOut
- Reggie GilliamOut
- +9 more
Packers
- Kadyn ProctorOut
- JuJu BrentsQuestionable
- Reese TaylorQuestionable
- De'Von AchaneOut
- Ronnie Harrison Jr.Out
- Trey MooreOut
- Darrell Baker Jr.Out
- Cole TurnerOut
- +1 more
The matchup
Patriots projected starters
- Drake MayeQB
- Rhamondre StevensonRB
- Efton Chism IIIWR
- DeMario DouglasWR
- Kyle WilliamsWR
- Hunter HenryTE
- Will CampbellLT
- Walter RouseLG
- Jared WilsonC
- Ben BrownRG
- Morgan MosesRT
- Dre'Mont JonesOLB
- Christian BarmoreDT
- Cory DurdenDT
- Milton WilliamsDT
- Elijah PonderOLB
- Robert SpillaneLB
- Christian EllissLB
- Carlton Davis IIICB
- Christian GonzalezCB
- Craig WoodsonS
- Kevin Byard IIIS
Packers projected starters
- Malik WillisQB
- Ollie Gordon IIRB
- Caleb DouglasWR
- Malik WashingtonWR
- Chris BellWR
- Greg DulcichTE
- Patrick PaulLT
- Jarrett KingstonLG
- Aaron BrewerC
- Jonah SavaiinaeaRG
- Austin JacksonRT
- Jordan PhillipsDT
- Zach SielerDT
- Chop RobinsonOLB
- Josh UcheOLB
- Jordyn BrooksILB
- Jacob RodriguezILB
- Chris JohnsonNB
- JuJu BrentsCB
- Jason Marshall Jr.CB
- Michael TaaffeS
- Dante Trader Jr.S
Updated The full read
02
Packers at Patriots odds and prediction markets
Sportsbook prices at 1:30 AM CTPrices as of : the Patriots are −3 to −2.5 at five sportsbooks and the total is 47.
WagerBird earns a commission when you sign up through a sportsbook link on this page. That does not change the prices shown or which one is marked best. Offers are for new customers in states where each sportsbook is licensed; terms apply at the sportsbook.
Prediction markets
Prices at 1:29 AM CT Tue 11/3Kalshi and Polymarket on Packers at Patriots
Patriots to win costs 62¢ on Kalshi, against −150 at the best sportsbook (BetMGM). A Yes price in cents is the market’s chance in percent; Kalshi’s trading fee is extra.
| Market | Kalshi | Polymarket | Best sportsbook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots to win | 62¢62% chance | 60¢60% chance | −150BetMGM |
| Packers to win | 43¢43% chance | 43¢43% chance | +132Caesars |
| Over 46.5 total points | 54¢54% chance | 52¢52% chance | – |
Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Spread | Money line | Total | Sign up | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | Packers | Patriots | Packers | Over | Under | ||
| FanDuel | −2.5−120 | +2.5−102 | −152 | +128 | – | – | Sign up |
| DraftKingsClaim the DraftKings new-customer offer | −3−108 | +3−112 | −155 | +130 | – | – | Sign up |
| BetMGMNJ MI PA WV: Bet $10 Get $150. All other states: $1500 Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win Code WAGERBIRD1 | −3−102 | +3−118 | −150 | +125 | o47−108 | – | Sign up |
| CaesarsBet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Wagers Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost Code WBIRD1DYW | −3−103 | +3−117 | −157 | +132 | – | – | Sign up |
| FanaticsNew Customers Get Up To $1,000 Matched In FanCash | −3−105 | +3−115 | −155 | +130 | – | – | Sign up |
BestGreen is the best price at the same line among these five sportsbooks. Prices as of 1:30 AM CT; they move until the start, and each sportsbook shows its live price before you confirm.
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03
Our Patriots picks, graded
How we workReleased
before kickoff, price locked at release
Locked
price and line at release, never changed
Graded
against the closing line
04
Results and against the spread
5–3 · 3–3 ATSRecord
5–3
Against the spread
3–3
Form, last 5
WWWLW
Last game
W 24-19at Dolphins
| Date | Game | Result | Spread | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11/1 | at Miami Dolphins | W 24-19 | −7 | Missed |
| Thu 10/22 | at Chicago Bears | L 24-30 | +3 | Missed |
| Sun 10/18 | vs New York Jets | W 26-19 | −7 | Push |
| Sun 10/11 | vs Las Vegas Raiders | W 45-17 | −3.5 | Covered |
| Sun 10/4 | at Buffalo Bills | W 29-26 | +7 | Covered |
Spread is the Patriots’ closing number. ATS is against the spread at the closing number.
05
The full read on the Patriots
Written Sun Nov 1, before the Dolphins game.
Season so far
New England is 4-3, with a 3-0 home record and a 1-3 road record. They are second in the AFC East.
The read
New England reaches Miami at 4-3, with a 3-0 home record and a 1-3 road mark. The 24-30 loss at Chicago ended a three-game winning streak against Buffalo, Las Vegas and the Jets. The Patriots sit second in the AFC East.
Drake Maye passed for 321 yards and two touchdowns in Chicago, but also threw an interception in the end zone. Its turnover differential is -7. Maye's passing production has continued alongside costly mistakes.
The offense is missing A.J. Brown and TreVeyon Henderson today. New England signed Lan Larison to the active roster and elevated Ryan Miller from the practice squad. Guard assignments also remain unsettled. Mike Vrabel did not confirm whether Walter Rouse and Matt Pryor would retain their recent roles; the posted chart lists Rouse and Ben Brown.
The regular secondary is expected back together, although Carlton Davis III remains questionable. Christian Gonzalez and Craig Woodson are returning from shoulder injuries. Vrabel has also reduced Christian Barmore's early-down work to emphasize his pass rush. Miami's rushing attack averages 131.5 yards per game, while New England has allowed 95.3.
Written by the WagerBird research team from our own results, line captures and graded picks. Updated . How we grade →
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Patriots questions, answered
Is there a Patriots pick tonight?
Yes. Our Patriots pick for Packers at Patriots was released before kickoff at Signal strength 60. Unlock it in the Terminal.
What is the Patriots' record this season?
The New England Patriots are 4-3: 3-0 at home and 1-3 on the road.
Who is on the Patriots injury report?
The Patriots list A.J. Brown (Out), TreVeyon Henderson (Out), Marcus Bryant (Out), Carlton Davis III (Questionable), Christian Elliss (Questionable), Ben Brown (Available), Kevin Byard III (Available), Channing Canada (Available), DaQuan Jones (Available), Dre'Mont Jones (Available), Drake Maye (Available), Morgan Moses (Available), Karon Prunty (Available), Alijah Vera-Tucker (Out), Romeo Doubs (Out), Reggie Gilliam (Out), Mack Hollins (Out), Greg Van Roten (Out), Quintayvious Hutchins (Out), Dell Pettus (Out), Mike Onwenu (Out), Khalil Jacobs (Out), Harold Landry III (Out), Myles Montgomery (Out), Julian Hill (Out).