New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions 1st Half Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 22 books
- 24.5 (11 consensus books · 22 tracked)
- Market Move
- 26.5 to 24.8 (1.8 pts toward Under)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 17 · At close: 0 · Behind: 7 (24 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- NE 42.6% · DET 57.4%
- Consensus Spread
- DET -2.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- NE 24 – DET 26.5
Market Brief: NE @ DET 1st Half Total
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 24.5 -102 / Under 24.5 +102 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 24.5 -109 at ProphetX; Under 25.5 -108 at DraftKings.
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 26.5 to 24.8 toward Under (1.8 pts) across 22 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET).
What is the NE @ DET 1st half total consensus line and best price per side?
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions 1st Half Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 24.5 -102 / Under 24.5 +102 across 11 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 24.5 -109 at ProphetX; Under 25.5 -108 at DraftKings.
How has the NE @ DET 1st half total moved from open to current?
Since open (Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET), the line moved from 26.5 to 24.8 toward Under (1.8 pts) across 22 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for NE @ DET 1st half total?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET).
Why is the NE @ DET 1st Half Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
NE @ DET 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus 24.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: NE @ DET 1st Half Total
The New England Patriots at Detroit Lions first-half total opened at 26.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 24.8 across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.8 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:04 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 11:55 AM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New England Patriots at Detroit Lions first-half total.
At Thu, Nov 12, 8:30 PM ET, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New England Patriots at Detroit Lions first-half total.
Across the 22 sportsbooks currently quoting the New England Patriots at Detroit Lions first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices Over at 24.5 -102 (50.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 24.5 +102 (49.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 24.5 -109 at ProphetX; Under 25.5 -108 at DraftKings.
In the NFL first-half game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 17 · At the close: 0 · Behind close: 7 (24 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NFL First-Half Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 70.8% of moved lines ahead of close (17 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 7 Behind close) · Sept 24–Nov 9
Release Record — NFL first-half game totals, since Sept 24 (Sept 24–Nov 9): 17-7, +31.3u
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 71% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (1st Half Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-detroit-lions-1h-total-2026-11-15-35140" title="New England Patriots at Detroit Lions 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-detroit-lions-1h-total-2026-11-15-35140">NE @ DET 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>