ENES
NFL · SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff

New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 15)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Mon, Nov 9, 2:02 PM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 43 books
NE +2.5 (29 consensus books · 43 tracked)
Market Move
DET -2.5 to -2.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 11 · At close: 3 · Behind: 9 (23 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
NE 42.6% · DET 57.4%
Consensus Spread
DET -2.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
NE 24 – DET 26.5

Market Brief: NE @ DET Spread

New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions Spread: vig-free consensus stands at NE +2.5 +108 / DET -2.5 -108 across 29 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: NE +2.5 +105 at ProphetX; DET -2.5 -112 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (DET -2.5) across 45 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the NE @ DET spread consensus line and best price per side?

New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions Spread: vig-free consensus stands at NE +2.5 +108 / DET -2.5 -108 across 29 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: NE +2.5 +105 at ProphetX; DET -2.5 -112 at ProphetX.

How has the NE @ DET spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (DET -2.5) across 45 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for NE @ DET spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the NE @ DET spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from DET -2.5 to DET -3 across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NE
Vig-free consensus +2.5 +108 (48.1% across 29 books)
Best price: +2.5 +105 at ProphetX
DET
Vig-free consensus -2.5 -108 (51.9% across 29 books)
Best price: -2.5 -112 at ProphetX

NE @ DET Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookNEDETExecution
BetMGM+2.5-102-2.5-118BetMGM
Caesars+2.5+100-2.5-120Caesars
DraftKings+2.5+100-2.5-120DraftKings
FanDuel+2.5+100-2.5-120FanDuel
Fanatics+2.5+100-2.5-120Fanatics
ProphetX+2.5+105-2.5-112ProphetX

Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus NE +2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: NE @ DET Spread

Across 43 tracked sportsbooks, the NE @ DET spread moved from an opening number of DET -2.5 to DET -2.5.

Best current licensed partner quotes: NE +2.5 +105 at ProphetX; DET -2.5 -112 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 5.0 pts across the market.

NFL Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 55.0% of moved lines ahead of close (11 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Oct 4–Nov 8

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date113923
Last 30 days92718

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 55% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-detroit-lions-spread-2026-11-15-35140" title="New England Patriots at Detroit Lions Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-detroit-lions-spread-2026-11-15-35140">NE @ DET Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>