NBA · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM CTMarket UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the SAS @ PHX spread moving?

Name: San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns Spread: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T12:40:03.097Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 8:38 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 6:40 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 8:28 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 39 books: SAS -8.5 (27 consensus books · 39 tracked)
Market Move: PHX +8.5 to +8.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record: NBA spreads: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 3 Lost (5 measured)

Why is the SAS @ PHX spread moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 3:10 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward PHX across 11 tracked sportsbooks.

SAS

Vig-free consensus -8.5 -103 (50.6% across 27 books)

Best price: -8.5 -107 at ProphetX

PHX

Vig-free consensus +8.5 +103 (49.4% across 27 books)

Best price: +9.5 -120 at FanDuel

SAS @ PHX Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	SAS	PHX	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	-8.5-115	+8.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 8:37 AM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	-8.5-115	+8.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 8:37 AM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	-8.5-114	+8.5-106	Mon, Nov 9, 8:37 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	-9.5-102	+9.5-120	Mon, Nov 9, 8:36 AM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	-8.5-110	+8.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 8:37 AM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	-8.5-107	+8.5+102	Mon, Nov 9, 8:37 AM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 39 sportsbooks, consensus SAS -8.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: SAS @ PHX Spread

The San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns spread opened at PHX +8.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at PHX +8.5 across 41 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 8:38 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 3:10 AM CT, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward PHX by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns spread.

Across the 39 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 27-book consensus prices SAS at -8.5 -103 (50.6% vig-free probability) and PHX at +8.5 +103 (49.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SAS -8.5 -107 at ProphetX; PHX +9.5 -120 at FanDuel.

In the NBA spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 3 season to date (5 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	2	0	3	5	40.0%
Last 30 days	2	0	3	5	40.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-phoenix-suns-spread-2026-11-09-34492" title="San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-phoenix-suns-spread-2026-11-09-34492">SAS @ PHX Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferSAS @ PHX · Points

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across San Antonio Spurs's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

SAS Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 2 Core Scorers Up vs. 3 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.9 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
93.0	89.5%	103.9	118.5 (-101)	-14.6

Compare SAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 118.5 (O -110)DraftKings 118.5 (O -110)BetMGM 118.5 (O -110)Caesars 117.5 (O -125)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Victor Wembanyama SAS · Prev 26.5 (+1.0)	27.5	30.9%	23.2%(-7.7% vs Hist)	+3.0		Usage Transfer
#2 Dylan Harper

San Antonio Spurs (SAS)Usage Transfer

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.9 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)

Phoenix Suns (PHX)Team Tide Shift

-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.4 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

San Antonio Spurs team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftSAS @ PHX · Points

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Phoenix Suns's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHX Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.4 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 87 Beat / 12 Tied / 41 LostThrough Nov 8 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

SAS @ PHX · PHX · ReboundsFree Dossier Release

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Pick & Line: Over 6.5
Fair Value: 7.3 (-165)
Book: Fanatics (+110)

Bridges' sustained involvement on the glass supports seven rebounds in his usual substantial workload.

Prop Dossier →Player History

Fanatics: Over 6.5 (+110)Kalshi · WBIRD1

SAS @ PHX · SAS · 3-Pointers MadeFree Dossier Release

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Pick & Line: Over 1.5
Fair Value: 2.2 (-182)
Book: Fanatics (-105)

Castle's established perimeter attempt load gives him a practical route to two made threes without exceptional accuracy.

Prop Dossier →Player History

Fanatics: Over 1.5 (-105)Kalshi · WBIRD1

SAS @ PHX · SAS · PointsFree Dossier Release

Dylan Harper · Points

Pick & Line: Over 16.5
Fair Value: 18.3 (-157)
Book: DraftKings (-112)

Harper's regular minutes and shot volume support a scoring total above the posted threshold without an expanded role.

Prop Dossier →Player History

DraftKings: Over 16.5 (-112)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Devin Booker PHX · Prev 23.5 (+1.0)	24.5	24.2%	22.4%(-1.8% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer
#2 Miles Bridges PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	19.7%	13.2%(-6.5% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Dillon Brooks PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	19.4%	13.2%(-6.2% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Jalen Green PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	13.7%	13.2%(-0.5% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Collin Gillespie PHX · Prev 8.5 (0.0)	8.5	7.6%	7.8%(+0.2% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Why is the SAS @ PHX spread moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SAS @ PHX Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: SAS @ PHX Spread

NBA Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 3 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Dylan Harper · Points

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Dylan Harper · Points