NBA · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: NOP +9.5 → +9.3 (-0.2 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NOP @ GSW spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 42 books
NOP +9.5 (13 consensus books · 42 tracked)
Market Move
GSW -9.5 to -9.3 (0.3 pts toward NOP)
Lane CLV record
NBA spreads: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 3 Lost (5 measured)

Why is the NOP @ GSW spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward NOP across 11 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NOP
Vig-free consensus +9.5 -107 (51.7% across 13 books)
Best price: +9.5 -112 at ProphetX
GSW
Vig-free consensus -9.5 +107 (48.3% across 13 books)
Best price: -8.5 -115 at Fanatics

NOP @ GSW Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookNOPGSWUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+8.5-102-8.5-118BetMGM
Caesars+9-110-9-110Caesars
DraftKings+8.5-104-8.5-116DraftKings
FanDuel+9.5-114-9.5-106FanDuel
Fanatics+8.5-105-8.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX+9.5-112-9.5+102ProphetX

Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus NOP +9.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: NOP @ GSW Spread

The New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors spread opened at GSW -9.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at GSW -9.3 across 42 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.3 pts, with net market movement toward NOP. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 1:47 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 11:57 PM CT, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward NOP by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors spread.

Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 7.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 13-book consensus prices NOP at +9.5 -107 (51.7% vig-free probability) and GSW at -9.5 +107 (48.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: NOP +9.5 -112 at ProphetX; GSW -8.5 -115 at Fanatics.

In the NBA spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 3 season to date (5 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 3 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date203540.0%
Last 30 days203540.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-spread-2026-11-09-34493" title="New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-spread-2026-11-09-34493">NOP @ GSW Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>