NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SASPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Stephon Castle (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Stephon Castle Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Stephon Castle's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 17.5 to 16.5 (-1.0).18.517.716.916.115.314.517.516.516.515.516.516.5Oct 28SAS @ UTAOct 31MIN @ SASNov 2UTA @ SASNov 4DAL @ SASNov 6SAS @ SACNov 7SAS @ POR

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Stephon Castle's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 17.5 to 16.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Stephon Castle)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
SAS @ UTA17.5 (-107)—14Under
MIN @ SAS16.5 (-105)-1.00Under
UTA @ SAS16.5 (+100)0.016Under
DAL @ SAS15.5 (-115)-1.017Over
SAS @ SAC16.5 (-110)+1.019Over
SAS @ POR16.5 (+108)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Stephon Castle Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -4.3 actual output delta (-3.3 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-3.3Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0
Window Open Line
17.5
Current Posted Line
16.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
13.2
Actual Output Delta
-4.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Stephon Castle Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output24014Oct 28@ UTA0Oct 31vs MIN16Nov 2vs UTA17Nov 4vs DAL19Nov 6@ SACNov 7@ POR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 28 · @ UTA17.5—14-3.5
Oct 31 · vs MIN16.5-1.00-16.5
Nov 2 · vs UTA16.50.016-0.5
Nov 4 · vs DAL15.5-1.017+1.5
Nov 6 · @ SAC16.5+1.019+2.5
Nov 7 · @ POR16.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Stephon Castle Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Stephon Castle.

Stephon Castle CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Stephon Castle.

Stephon Castle WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 4DAL @ SASAssistsUnder 5.55.53Beat
Oct 31MIN @ SAS3-Pointers MadeOver 1.51.50Lost

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136