Keldon Johnson (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Keldon Johnson's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 10.5 to 9.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Keldon Johnson)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS @ UTA | 10.5 (+100) | — | 9 | Under | |
| MIN @ SAS | 9.5 (-115) | -1.0 | 2 | Under | |
| UTA @ SAS | 9.5 (-104) | 0.0 | 15 | Over | |
| DAL @ SAS | 9.5 (+102) | 0.0 | 4 | Under | |
| SAS @ SAC | 10.5 (+104) | +1.0 | 3 | Under | |
| SAS @ POR | 9.5 (-111) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Keldon Johnson Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -3.9 actual output delta (-2.9 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 10.5
- Current Posted Line
- 9.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 6.6
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.9
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ UTA | 10.5 | — | 9 | -1.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs MIN | 9.5 | -1.0 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs UTA | 9.5 | 0.0 | 15 | +5.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs DAL | 9.5 | 0.0 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ SAC | 10.5 | +1.0 | 3 | -7.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ POR | 9.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Keldon Johnson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Keldon Johnson.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Keldon Johnson.
Keldon Johnson WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | DAL @ SAS | Rebounds | Over 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 | Beat |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |