NBA · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM CTMarket Move: PHX (+0.8% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Name: San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns First-quarter moneyline: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T15:00:05.048Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:34 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 9:21 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 19 books: SAS -168 (19 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move: PHX 38.5% to 39.2% (0.8% implied probability toward PHX)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-quarter moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 8:51 AM CTMarket consensus updated (2.7% implied probability) toward PHX across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

SAS

Vig-free consensus -168 (62.7% across 19 books)

Best price: -175 at DraftKings

PHX

Vig-free consensus +168 (37.3% across 19 books)

Best price: +172 at FanDuel

SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	SAS	PHX	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	-190	+150	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	-190	+155	Mon, Nov 9, 10:28 AM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	-175	+145	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	-215	+172	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	-205	+155	Mon, Nov 9, 10:32 AM CT	Fanatics

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus SAS -168. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline

The San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns first-quarter moneyline opened at 38.5% implied probability for PHX on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 12:01 AM CT) and currently sits at 39.2% implied probability for PHX across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8% implied probability, with net market movement toward PHX. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:34 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 8:51 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward PHX by a median of 2.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices SAS at -168 (62.7% vig-free probability) and PHX at +168 (37.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SAS -175 at DraftKings; PHX +172 at FanDuel.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-quarter moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

NBA First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	0	0	0	0	-
Last 30 days	0	0	0	0	-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-phoenix-suns-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34492" title="San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-phoenix-suns-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34492">SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferSAS @ PHX · Points

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across San Antonio Spurs's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

SAS Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 2 Core Scorers Up vs. 3 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.9 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
93.0	89.5%	103.9	118.5 (+104)	-14.6

Compare SAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 117.5 (O -115)DraftKings 118.5 (O -110)BetMGM 118.5 (O -105)Caesars 118.5 (O -110)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Victor Wembanyama SAS · Prev 26.5 (+1.0)	27.5	30.9%	23.2%(-7.7% vs Hist)	+3.0		Usage Transfer
#2 Dylan Harper

San Antonio Spurs (SAS)Usage Transfer

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.9 vs. 118.5 Posted Team Total)

Phoenix Suns (PHX)Team Tide Shift

-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.4 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

San Antonio Spurs team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftSAS @ PHX · Points

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Phoenix Suns's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHX Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-19.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.4 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 87 Beat / 12 Tied / 41 LostThrough Nov 8 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

SAS @ PHX · PHX · ReboundsFree Dossier Release

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Pick & Line: Over 6.5
Fair Value: 7.3 (-165)
Book: Fanatics (+107)

Bridges' sustained involvement on the glass supports seven rebounds in his usual substantial workload.

Prop Dossier →Player History

Fanatics: Over 6.5 (+105)Kalshi · WBIRD1

SAS @ PHX · SAS · 3-Pointers MadeFree Dossier Release

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Pick & Line: Over 1.5
Fair Value: 2.2 (-182)
Book: Fanatics (-108)

Castle's established perimeter attempt load gives him a practical route to two made threes without exceptional accuracy.

Prop Dossier →Player History

Fanatics: Over 1.5 (-115)Kalshi · WBIRD1

SAS @ PHX · SAS · PointsFree Dossier Release

Dylan Harper · Points

Pick & Line: Over 16.5
Fair Value: 18.3 (-157)
Book: DraftKings (-115)

Harper's regular minutes and shot volume support a scoring total above the posted threshold without an expanded role.

Prop Dossier →Player History

DraftKings: Over 16.5 (-115)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Devin Booker PHX · Prev 23.5 (+1.0)	24.5	24.2%	22.4%(-1.8% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer
#2 Miles Bridges PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	19.7%	13.2%(-6.5% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Dillon Brooks PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	19.4%	13.2%(-6.2% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Jalen Green PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	13.7%	13.2%(-0.5% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Collin Gillespie PHX · Prev 8.5 (0.0)	8.5	7.6%	7.8%(+0.2% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Why is the SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: SAS @ PHX 1st Quarter Moneyline

NBA First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Dylan Harper · Points

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Dylan Harper · Points