NBA · 1st Quarter MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: CLE (+0.5% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the CLE @ CHA 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 19 books
CLE -165 (19 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move
CHA 40.0% to 39.5% (0.5% implied probability toward CLE)
Lane CLV record
NBA first-quarter moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the CLE @ CHA 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.7% implied probability) toward CHA across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

CLE
Vig-free consensus -165 (62.3% across 19 books)
Best price: -175 at DraftKings
CHA
Vig-free consensus +165 (37.7% across 19 books)
Best price: +164 at FanDuel

CLE @ CHA 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookCLECHAUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM-190+150BetMGM
Caesars-180+150Caesars
DraftKings-175+145DraftKings
FanDuel-205+164FanDuel
Fanatics-200+150Fanatics

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus CLE -165. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: CLE @ CHA 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets first-quarter moneyline opened at 40.0% implied probability for CHA on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:56 PM CT) and currently sits at 39.5% implied probability for CHA across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward CLE. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 9:39 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 8:28 AM CT, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward CHA by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices CLE at -165 (62.3% vig-free probability) and CHA at +165 (37.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: CLE -175 at DraftKings; CHA +164 at FanDuel.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every NBA first-quarter moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

NBA First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date0000-
Last 30 days0000-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/cleveland-cavaliers-at-charlotte-hornets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34488" title="Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/cleveland-cavaliers-at-charlotte-hornets-1q-moneyline-2026-11-09-34488">CLE @ CHA 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>