NBA · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM CTMarket UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread moving?

Name: San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns First-half spread: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T20:44:08.590Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 3:56 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 2:44 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 2:44 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 24 books: SAS -4.5 (16 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move: PHX +4.5 to +4.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half spreads: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (1 measured)

Why is the SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 2:38 PM CTMarket line moved 0.8 pts toward SAS across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

SAS

Vig-free consensus -4.5 -104 (50.9% across 16 books)

Best price: -4.5 -110 at ProphetX

PHX

Vig-free consensus +4.5 +104 (49.1% across 16 books)

Best price: +5 -115 at Caesars

SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	SAS	PHX	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	-4.5-115	+4.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 3:54 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	-5-105	+5-115	Mon, Nov 9, 3:46 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	-4.5-115	+4.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 3:55 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	-4.5-114	+4.5-106	Mon, Nov 9, 3:53 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	-4.5-120	+4.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 3:34 PM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	-4.5-110	+4.5+103	Mon, Nov 9, 3:52 PM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus SAS -4.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread

The San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns first-half spread opened at PHX +4.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 12:01 AM CT) and currently sits at PHX +4.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 3:56 PM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 2:38 PM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SAS by a median of 0.8 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns first-half spread.

Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices SAS at -4.5 -104 (50.9% vig-free probability) and PHX at +4.5 +104 (49.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: SAS -4.5 -110 at ProphetX; PHX +5 -115 at Caesars.

In the NBA first-half spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 1 times, tied 0, and lost 0 season to date (1 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	1	0	0	1	100.0%
Last 30 days	1	0	0	1	100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns (1st Half Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-phoenix-suns-1h-spread-2026-11-09-34492" title="San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/san-antonio-spurs-at-phoenix-suns-1h-spread-2026-11-09-34492">SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftSAS @ PHX · Points

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across San Antonio Spurs's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

SAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 2 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-3.4 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 114.1 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
97.0	85.0%	114.1	117.5 (-106)	-3.4

Compare SAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 117.5 (O -106)DraftKings 117.5 (O -112)BetMGM 117.5 (O -115)Caesars 117.5 (O -110)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Victor Wembanyama SAS · Prev 26.5 (0.0)	26.5	30.9%	22.6%(-8.3% vs Hist)	+2.0		Steady Share
#2 Dylan Harper SAS · Prev 16.5 (0.0)

San Antonio Spurs (SAS)Team Tide Shift

-3.4 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 114.1 vs. 117.5 Posted Team Total)

Phoenix Suns (PHX)Team Tide Shift

-18.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.4 vs. 108.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

San Antonio Spurs team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftSAS @ PHX · Points

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Phoenix Suns's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHX Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 3 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-18.1 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 90.4 vs. 108.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 87 Beat / 12 Tied / 41 LostThrough Nov 8 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

SAS @ PHX · PHX · ReboundsFree Dossier Release

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Pick & Line: Over 6.5
Fair Value: 7.3 (-165)
Book: Fanatics (+119)

Bridges' sustained involvement on the glass supports seven rebounds in his usual substantial workload.

Prop Dossier →Player History

Fanatics: Over 6.5 (+110)Kalshi · WBIRD1

SAS @ PHX · SAS · 3-Pointers MadeFree Dossier Release

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Pick & Line: Over 1.5
Fair Value: 2.2 (-182)
Book: Fanatics (-111)

Castle's established perimeter attempt load gives him a practical route to two made threes without exceptional accuracy.

Prop Dossier →Player History

Fanatics: Over 1.5 (-115)Kalshi · WBIRD1

SAS @ PHX · SAS · PointsFree Dossier Release

Dylan Harper · Points

Pick & Line: Over 16.5
Fair Value: 18.3 (-157)
Book: DraftKings (-105)

Harper's regular minutes and shot volume support a scoring total above the posted threshold without an expanded role.

Prop Dossier →Player History

DraftKings: Over 16.5 (-114)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Devin Booker PHX · Prev 23.5 (+1.0)	24.5	24.2%	22.6%(-1.6% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer
#2 Miles Bridges PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	19.7%	13.4%(-6.3% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Dillon Brooks PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	19.4%	13.4%(-6.0% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Jalen Green PHX · Prev 15.5 (-1.0)	14.5	13.7%	13.4%(-0.3% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Collin Gillespie PHX · Prev 8.5 (0.0)	8.5	7.6%	7.8%(+0.2% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Why is the SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: SAS @ PHX 1st Half Spread

NBA First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Dylan Harper · Points

SAS @ PHX · San Antonio Spurs WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

SAS @ PHX · Phoenix Suns WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 8:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (87 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

Miles Bridges · Rebounds

Stephon Castle · 3-Pointers Made

Dylan Harper · Points