NBA · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 PM CTMarket Move: DET -5.5 → -6.5 (-1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread moving?

Name: Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons First-half spread: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T14:50:03.363Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 9:54 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 8:50 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 9:22 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 24 books: WAS +6.5 (17 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move: DET -5.5 to -6.5 (1.0 pt toward DET)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half spreads: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (1 measured)

Why is the WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 8:48 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward DET across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

WAS

Vig-free consensus +6.5 -102 (50.5% across 17 books)

Best price: +6.5 -110 at Caesars

DET

Vig-free consensus -6.5 +102 (49.5% across 17 books)

Best price: -5.5 -115 at FanDuel

WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	WAS	DET	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	+6.5-115	-6.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 9:52 AM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	+6.5-110	-6.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 9:40 AM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	+6.5-115	-6.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 9:52 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	+5.5-105	-5.5-115	Mon, Nov 9, 9:51 AM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	+6.5-120	-6.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 9:32 AM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	+5.5+100	-5.5-117	Mon, Nov 9, 9:45 AM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus WAS +6.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread

The Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons first-half spread opened at DET -5.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:56 PM CT) and currently sits at DET -6.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward DET. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 9:54 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 8:48 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward DET by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons first-half spread.

Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices WAS at +6.5 -102 (50.5% vig-free probability) and DET at -6.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: WAS +6.5 -110 at Caesars; DET -5.5 -115 at FanDuel.

In the NBA first-half spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 1 times, tied 0, and lost 0 season to date (1 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	1	0	0	1	100.0%
Last 30 days	1	0	0	1	100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons (1st Half Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/washington-wizards-at-detroit-pistons-1h-spread-2026-11-09-34487" title="Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/washington-wizards-at-detroit-pistons-1h-spread-2026-11-09-34487">WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ DET · Points

WAS @ DET · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Washington Wizards's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

WAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+24.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 127.5 vs. 103.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
83.5	65.5%	127.5	103.5 (-102)	+24.0

Compare WAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 104.5 (O -104)DraftKings 103.5 (O -102)BetMGM 103.5 (O -110)Caesars 103.5 (O -110)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Anthony Davis WAS · Prev 19.5 (+1.0)	20.5	18.4%	19.8%(+1.4% vs Hist)	0.0		Usage Transfer
#2 Trae Young WAS · Prev 19.5 (-1.0)

Washington Wizards (WAS)Team Tide Shift

+24.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 127.5 vs. 103.5 Posted Team Total)

Detroit Pistons (DET)Team Tide Shift

-17.2 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 97.3 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Washington Wizards team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftWAS @ DET · Points

WAS @ DET · Detroit Pistons WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Detroit Pistons's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DET Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 2 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-17.2 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 97.3 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Cade Cunningham DET · Prev 24.5 (+2.0)	26.5	25.8%	23.1%(-2.7% vs Hist)	+3.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Duncan Robinson DET · Prev 15.5 (0.0)	15.5	19.1%	13.5%(-5.6% vs Hist)	+3.0	Steady Share
#3 Paul Reed DET · Prev 13.5 (-1.0)	12.5	14.0%	10.9%(-3.1% vs Hist)	0.0	Usage Transfer
#4 John Collins DET · Prev 11.5 (0.0)	11.5	6.9%	10.0%(+3.1% vs Hist)	-3.0	Steady Share
#5 Ausar Thompson DET · Prev 10.5 (0.0)	10.5	11.1%	9.2%(-1.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#6 Daniss Jenkins DET · Prev 9.5 (+1.0)	10.5	12.5%	9.2%(-3.3% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: WAS @ DET 1st Half Spread

NBA First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

WAS @ DET · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ DET · Detroit Pistons WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ DET · Washington Wizards WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

WAS @ DET · Detroit Pistons WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)