01 · Fundamental Driver
Existing setup rate
5.3 AST · 29.8 MIN — White averages 5.3 assists in 29.8 minutes. He has already produced useful passing volume without needing to displace the lead wing as the central creator.
Posted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)Free Dossier Release
Derrick White Assists Prop (Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers, ): Fair Line 5.6 vs 4.5 Market
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (ET)
DraftKings: Over 4.5 (-149)Modeled Fair Line: 5.6
- Release & Line
- OVER 4.5 (-121)
- DraftKings
- Modeled Fair Line
- 5.6
- 1.1 Pt Delta
- Posted Line Drift
- 4.5 → 4.5 (0.0)
- Last 6 Active Games
- Matchup (ET)
- BOS @ PHI
- NBA Props Lane CLV
- 91 / 12 / 41
- Beat / Tied / Lost
Sportsbook Posted Assists Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted assists total each game vs. WAGERBIRD Modeled Fair Line.
Posted Book Line WAGERBIRD Fair (5.6)
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Nov 1 to Nov 10), Derrick White's posted assists line has held net flat at 4.5. WAGERBIRD's modeled fair line for BOS @ PHI is 5.6.
6-Game Posted Assists Ledger (Derrick White)
America/New_York (ET)Canonical pre-game posted line across 6 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window
Derrick White Assists Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).
Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
- Window Open Line
- 4.5
- Current Posted Line
- 4.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 4.8
- Actual Output Delta
- +0.3
- Modeled Fair Line
- 5.6
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
WAGERBIRD Write-Up · Derrick White Assists (Over 4.5)
Free Dossier ReleaseWrite-Up Thesis
White's current setup rate and established scoring outlets support continued assist production.
02 · Fundamental Driver
Scoring receivers
27.1 + 20.4 PTS — Tatum and George average 27.1 and 20.4 points, respectively. Their ability to finish possessions gives White productive targets when he makes the direct setup pass.
Red Team · Counter-Case & Risk Factors
Thesis Invalidation Risks
White can become the stationary shooter while the wings deliver the final pass. Scoring through free throws or unassisted isolation baskets can also leave him without enough credited setups.
Settlement Rule: CASHES DERRICK WHITE FULL GAME ASSISTS OVER 4.5 WITH AT LEAST 5 ASSISTS; NO PUSH ON THE HALF.
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationBOS @ PHI · Points
BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) ()
Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Boston Celtics's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.
BOS Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation1 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral
Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)
-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.9 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)
Compare BOS Team Total Partner Quotes:
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault3 Tracked Write-Ups
Derrick White Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)
1 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled Derrick White prop write-ups.
Derrick White CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 1 Lost
2 Settled CLV ReceiptsArchived Settled Derrick White Prop Write-Ups
Nov 8 ET · BOS @ MIL · AssistsFull Write-Up →
White’s 5.1-assist season average and recent five-assist performance support the projection.
Counter-Case: White’s recent minutes have varied, and he had four assists in a 25-minute outing. If Tatum and George dominate the ball or teammates miss open shots, the modest projection margin can disappear.
Nov 6 ET · BOS @ CHA · PointsFull Write-Up →
Tatum's return reduces the need for White to repeat the shooting and free-throw workload of his latest appearance.
Counter-Case: Extra ball-handling when the bench backcourt is short-handed could keep his attempt count elevated. Drives that draw fouls or a productive pull-up shooting night would defeat the expected scoring restraint.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WAGERBIRD grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 ET).