By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted assists total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 20 to Oct 30), sportsbooks adjusted Cade Cunningham's posted assists line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 8.5 to 9.5 (+1.0). WagerBird's modeled fair line for DET @ BKN is 9.0 (-129).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS @ DET | 8.5 (-120) | — | 8 | Under | |
| DET @ MIA | 9.5 (+106) | +1.0 | 8 | Under | |
| DET @ PHI | 9.5 (-113) | 0.0 | 8 | Under | |
| DET @ NYK | 8.5 (+102) | -1.0 | 8 | Under | |
| CHA @ DET | 8.5 (-111) | 0.0 | 7 | Under | |
| DET @ BKN | 9.5 (+108) | +1.0 | 4 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 4 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Books adjusted +1.0 vs. -1.3 actual output delta (-2.3 Book Over-Adjustment).
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 · vs BOS | 8.5 | — | 8 | -0.5 |
| Oct 23 · @ MIA | 9.5 | +1.0 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Oct 25 · @ PHI | 9.5 | 0.0 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Oct 27 · @ NYK | 8.5 | -1.0 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs CHA | 8.5 | 0.0 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ BKN | 9.5 | +1.0 | 4 | -5.5 |
Cunningham's current assist rate and Detroit's secondary creation keep the central expectation below ten.
39 AST · 173 MIN · 7.8 APG — Cunningham recorded 39 assists in approximately 173 minutes through five games. His latest outputs of eight and seven assists came in substantial minutes, showing that a full workload does not automatically produce a double-digit total.
THOMPSON 20 AST · 4 APPEARANCES — Thompson supplied 20 assists across four appearances, including eight in the latest game. Detroit can generate assisted baskets through that secondary channel instead of routing every final pass through Cunningham.
Brooklyn can give up clean finishes and open jumpers that turn Cunningham's passes into assists at an elevated rate. A close finish or overtime can extend his workload, and strong shooting from Robinson can push the assist total past the threshold.
Settlement Rule: CASHES CADE CUNNINGHAM UNDER 9.5 ASSISTS WITH 0–9 ASSISTS; PUSH IMPOSSIBLE ON THE HALF.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Detroit Pistons's 5 primary contributors.
| Detroit Pistons Contributor | Oct 28 vs CHA | Oct 30 @ BKN | Nov 2 @ CHA | Nov 4 vs PHI | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham DET · Points | 23.5 | 23.5 | 24.5 | 24.5 | -1.0 | Trending Down ↓ | |
| Paul Reed DET · Points | 12.5 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 12.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| John Collins DET · Points | 14.5 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Duncan Robinson DET · Points | 12.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Ausar Thompson DET · Points | 9.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | Flat → |
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
Balanced Core Scoring Distribution — Implied Team Total Pressure: Neutral
1 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled Cade Cunningham prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | DET @ BKN | Assists | Under 9.5 (-105) · Fanatics | 9.5 | 4 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 20 | BOS @ DET | Assists | Over 8.5 (-122) · FanDuel | 8.5 | 8 | Lost | Read Write-Up → |
Cunningham's current assist rate and Detroit's secondary creation keep the central expectation below ten.
Counter-Case: Brooklyn can give up clean finishes and open jumpers that turn Cunningham's passes into assists at an elevated rate. A close finish or overtime can extend his workload, and strong shooting from Robinson can push the assist total past the threshold.
Cunningham's dominant creation role keeps a high assist total attainable even in a slower matchup.
Counter-Case: Boston can contest the receiving shooters well enough that Cunningham's good passes do not become assists. Coverage that invites his own scoring, or a reduced interior finishing workload for Duren, can also keep the distribution total short.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |