NBA · 1st Half Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sun, Nov 8, 2:30 PM CTMarket UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total moving?

Name: Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls First-half Chicago Bulls team total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-08T15:28:16.032Z

Prices as of Sun, Nov 8, 11:16 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sun, Nov 8, 9:28 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sun, Nov 8, 11:02 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 10 books: 58.5 (10 consensus books · 10 tracked)
Market Move: 58.5 to 58.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half team totals: 12 Beat / 0 Tied / 6 Lost (18 measured)

Why is the PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total moving?

Sun, Nov 8, 8:41 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 58.5 +104 (49.1% across 10 books)

Best price: 58.5 +100 at DraftKings

Under

Vig-free consensus 58.5 -104 (50.9% across 10 books)

Best price: 58.5 -112 at FanDuel

PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	58.5-110	58.5-118	Sun, Nov 8, 11:15 AM CT	BetMGM
DraftKings	58.5+100	58.5-120	Sun, Nov 8, 11:15 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	58.5-108	58.5-112	Sun, Nov 8, 11:14 AM CT	FanDuel

Full market: 10 sportsbooks, consensus 58.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total

The Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls first-half Chicago Bulls team total opened at 58.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 58.5 across 10 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 11:16 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 8:41 AM CT, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls first-half Chicago Bulls team total.

Across the 10 sportsbooks currently quoting the Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls first-half Chicago Bulls team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices Over at 58.5 +104 (49.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 58.5 -104 (50.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 58.5 +100 at DraftKings; Under 58.5 -112 at FanDuel.

In the NBA first-half team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 12 times, tied 0, and lost 6 season to date (18 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (12 Beat, 0 Tied, 6 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	12	0	6	18	66.7%
Last 30 days	12	0	6	18	66.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls (1st Half Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/philadelphia-76ers-at-chicago-bulls-1h-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34335" title="Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls 1st Half Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/philadelphia-76ers-at-chicago-bulls-1h-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34335">PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftPHI @ CHI · Points

PHI @ CHI · Philadelphia 76ers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Philadelphia 76ers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHI Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-12.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 111.5 vs. 123.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
107.0	96.0%	111.5	123.5 (-110)	-12.0

Compare PHI Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 123.5 (O -110)DraftKings 123.5 (O -115)BetMGM 123.5 (O -118)Caesars 123.5 (O -110)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Tyrese Maxey PHI · Prev 25.5 (-1.0)	24.5	24.0%	19.8%(-4.2% vs Hist)	-1.0		Usage Transfer
#2 Jaylen Brown PHI · Prev 20.5 (+1.0)

Philadelphia 76ers (PHI)Team Tide Shift

-12.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 111.5 vs. 123.5 Posted Team Total)

Chicago Bulls (CHI)Usage Transfer

+0.8 Pts Desk Equilibrium (Core-6 Implies 114.3 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Philadelphia 76ers team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferPHI @ CHI · Points

PHI @ CHI · Chicago Bulls WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Chicago Bulls's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

CHI Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 2 Core Scorers Up vs. 2 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+0.8 Pts Desk Equilibrium (Core-6 Implies 114.3 vs. 113.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · Verified CLV: 75 Beat / 11 Tied / 39 LostThrough Nov 7 CT

Released Player Props & CLV Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

PHI @ CHI · CHI · PointsFree Dossier Release

Tre Jones · Points

Pick & Line: Over 10.5
Fair Value: 11.5 (-223)
Book: BetMGM (-115)

Jones's foul-line production lets him reach a modest scoring threshold without needing starter minutes.

Prop Dossier →Player History

BetMGM: Over 9.5 (-160)Kalshi · WBIRD1

PHI @ CHI · PHI · PointsFree Dossier Release

LeBron James · Points

Pick & Line: Under 17.5
Fair Value: 15.0 (-215)
Book: BetMGM (+105)

James's facilitating role and shared scoring workload keep his personal shot supply modest.

Prop Dossier →Player History

BetMGM: Under 17.5 (-125)Kalshi · WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Caleb Wilson CHI · Prev 19.5 (0.0)	19.5	17.5%	17.2%(-0.3% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#2 Norman Powell CHI · Prev 19.5 (-1.0)	18.5	16.7%	16.3%(-0.4% vs Hist)	0.0	Usage Transfer
#3 Matas Buzelis CHI · Prev 12.5 (+1.0)	13.5	11.6%	11.9%(+0.3% vs Hist)	-1.0	Usage Transfer
#4 Josh Giddey CHI · Prev 11.5 (0.0)	11.5	9.7%	10.1%(+0.4% vs Hist)	+1.0	Steady Share
#5 Jalen Smith CHI · Prev 11.5 (-1.0)	10.5	8.7%	9.3%(+0.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Usage Transfer
#6 Tre Jones CHI · Prev 9.5 (+1.0)	10.5	9.3%	9.3%(0.0% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer

Why is the PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: PHI @ CHI 1st Half Home Team Total

NBA First-Half Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (12 Beat, 0 Tied, 6 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

PHI @ CHI · Philadelphia 76ers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

PHI @ CHI · Chicago Bulls WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)

Tre Jones · Points

LeBron James · Points

PHI @ CHI · Philadelphia 76ers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

PHI @ CHI · Chicago Bulls WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 8, 2:30 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & CLV Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)

Tre Jones · Points

LeBron James · Points