Tyrese Maxey (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Tyrese Maxey's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 25.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Tyrese Maxey)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ IND | 24.5 (+104) | — | 27 | Over | |
| NYK @ PHI | 25.5 (-102) | +1.0 | 27 | Over | |
| PHI @ CHA | 27.5 (+100) | +2.0 | 38 | Over | |
| CHI @ PHI | 25.5 (-106) | -2.0 | 26 | Over | |
| PHI @ DET | 24.5 (+104) | -1.0 | 19 | Under | |
| PHI @ CLE | 25.5 (-113) | +1.0 | 17 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Tyrese Maxey Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (+1.0) tracks actual window production (+1.2).
- Window Open Line
- 24.5
- Current Posted Line
- 25.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 25.7
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.2
- Modeled Fair Value
- 27.0 (-153)
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ IND | 24.5 | — | 27 | +2.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs NYK | 25.5 | +1.0 | 27 | +1.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ CHA | 27.5 | +2.0 | 38 | +10.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs CHI | 25.5 | -2.0 | 26 | +0.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ DET | 24.5 | -1.0 | 19 | -5.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ CLE | 25.5 | +1.0 | 17 | -8.5 |
Tyrese Maxey Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (4 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
4 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 4 settled Tyrese Maxey prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | PHI @ CLE | Points | Over 24.5 (-115) · Fanatics | 25.5 | 17 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Nov 4 | PHI @ DET | Points | Over 23.5 (-108) · FanDuel | 24.5 | 19 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 30 | NYK @ PHI | Points | Over 22.5 (-116) · ProphetX | 25.5 | 27 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 22 | CLE @ PHI | Points | Over 22.5 (-120) · BetMGM | 23.5 | 32 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Tyrese Maxey Prop Write-Ups
Maxey's sustained minutes, shot volume and free-throw opportunities support enough scoring to clear this threshold without exceptional shooting.
Counter-Case: Early defensive pressure can move the ball toward the other primary scorers and turn his possessions into assists. A slow opening half or an abbreviated fourth-quarter stint can leave him short even without poor shooting.
Maxey's sustained lead-guard workload supports enough scoring volume even after allowing for a healthier and more crowded starting lineup.
Counter-Case: Detroit can slow the possession count and make Maxey finish against a set defense. James, Brown and Embiid can take a larger share of the offense, leaving too few attempts for this selection within Philadelphia's restrained scoring outlook.
Maxey's sustained shooting volume gives him a scoring path that does not require another teammate to miss the game.
Counter-Case: New York can pressure Maxey into releasing the ball before he reaches a scoring position. More post possessions for Embiid and heavier shot demand from Brown can reduce his attempts even during a long shift. A cold perimeter night would make those lost opportunities harder to replace.
Maxey can retain enough finishing volume alongside the additional creators to reach his scoring threshold.
Counter-Case: Brown and Embiid can absorb finishing possessions while Maxey plays a normal workload. Early fouls or a one-sided fourth quarter would further reduce his scoring chances.
Tyrese Maxey WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |