Jalen Smith (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Jalen Smith's posted points line downward in 1 of 5 game-over-game steps from 13.5 to 11.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jalen Smith)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS @ CHI | 13.5 (+100) | — | 14 | Over | |
| CHI @ BOS | 10.5 (-110) | -3.0 | 7 | Under | |
| NYK @ CHI | 10.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 17 | Over | |
| CHI @ BOS | 10.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 5 | Under | |
| CHI @ PHI | 11.5 (+100) | +1.0 | 13 | Over | |
| CHI @ NYK | 11.5 (-111) | 0.0 | 3 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jalen Smith Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -2.0 vs. -3.7 actual output delta (-1.7 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 13.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 9.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -3.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 · vs WAS | 13.5 | — | 14 | +0.5 |
| Oct 26 · @ BOS | 10.5 | -3.0 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs NYK | 10.5 | 0.0 | 17 | +6.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ BOS | 10.5 | 0.0 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ PHI | 11.5 | +1.0 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ NYK | 11.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -8.5 |
Jalen Smith Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jalen Smith.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jalen Smith.
Jalen Smith WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | CHI @ TOR | Rebounds | Over 7.5 | 7.5 | 8 | Beat |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |