Matas Buzelis (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Matas Buzelis's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 14.5 to 12.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Matas Buzelis)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS @ CHI | 14.5 (-102) | — | 21 | Over | |
| CHI @ BOS | 14.5 (+104) | 0.0 | 11 | Under | |
| NYK @ CHI | 13.5 (-115) | -1.0 | 17 | Over | |
| CHI @ BOS | 13.5 (-115) | 0.0 | 14 | Over | |
| CHI @ PHI | 14.5 (-113) | +1.0 | 4 | Under | |
| CHI @ NYK | 12.5 (-120) | -2.0 | 12 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Matas Buzelis Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-1.3).
- Window Open Line
- 14.5
- Current Posted Line
- 12.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 13.2
- Actual Output Delta
- -1.3
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 · vs WAS | 14.5 | — | 21 | +6.5 |
| Oct 26 · @ BOS | 14.5 | 0.0 | 11 | -3.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs NYK | 13.5 | -1.0 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ BOS | 13.5 | 0.0 | 14 | +0.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ PHI | 14.5 | +1.0 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ NYK | 12.5 | -2.0 | 12 | -0.5 |
Matas Buzelis Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Matas Buzelis.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Matas Buzelis.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |