Anfernee Simons (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), Anfernee Simons's posted points line has held net flat at 8.5.
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Anfernee Simons)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ IND | 8.5 (+102) | — | 20 | Over | |
| NYK @ PHI | 11.5 (-102) | +3.0 | 21 | Over | |
| PHI @ CHA | 12.5 (+105) | +1.0 | 19 | Over | |
| CHI @ PHI | 10.5 (-107) | -2.0 | 6 | Under | |
| PHI @ DET | 8.5 (-109) | -2.0 | 0 | Under | |
| PHI @ CLE | 8.5 (-115) | 0.0 | 6 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Anfernee Simons Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +3.5 vs. 0.0 book step adjustment (+3.5 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 8.5
- Current Posted Line
- 8.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 12.0
- Actual Output Delta
- +3.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · @ IND | 8.5 | — | 20 | +11.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs NYK | 11.5 | +3.0 | 21 | +9.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ CHA | 12.5 | +1.0 | 19 | +6.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs CHI | 10.5 | -2.0 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ DET | 8.5 | -2.0 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ CLE | 8.5 | 0.0 | 6 | -2.5 |
Anfernee Simons Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Anfernee Simons prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | CLE @ PHI | Points | Over 8.5 (-125) · Caesars | 9.5 | 2 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Anfernee Simons Prop Write-Ups
Simons can produce sufficient reserve scoring through perimeter opportunities created alongside the starting playmakers.
Counter-Case: A shortened reserve rotation can leave Simons on the bench during the closing stretch. Cold perimeter shooting can also keep him short even when he receives his expected minutes.
Anfernee Simons WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | CLE @ PHI | Points | Over 8.5 | 9.5 | 2 | Beat |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |