NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: PHIPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-3.0 over 6 games)

Joel Embiid (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Joel Embiid Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Oct 24, 6:30 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Fri, Nov 6, 6:30 PM CT

NBA Player Props CLV Counts

73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Joel Embiid's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 24.5 to 21.5 (-3.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Joel Embiid)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 24	MIL @ PHI	24.5 (+106)	—	28	Over
Oct 28	PHI @ IND(Missed 1g)	24.5 (-104)	0.0	21	Under
Oct 30	NYK @ PHI	24.5 (-105)	0.0	10	Under
Nov 2	CHI @ PHI(Missed 1g)	21.5 (-115)	-3.0	15	Under
Nov 4	PHI @ DET	18.5 (-128)	-3.0	26	Over
Nov 6	PHI @ CLE	21.5 (-102)	+3.0	6	Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Joel Embiid Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -3.0 vs. -6.8 actual output delta (-3.8 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-3.8Max Single-Game Book Step: +3.0

Window Open Line: 24.5
Current Posted Line: 21.5
Book Cumulative Step: -3.0
Actual Window Avg: 17.7
Actual Output Delta: -6.8
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 24 · vs MIL	24.5	—	28	+3.5
Oct 28 · @ IND	24.5	0.0	21	-3.5
Oct 30 · vs NYK	24.5	0.0	10	-14.5
Nov 2 · vs CHI	21.5	-3.0	15	-6.5
Nov 4 · @ DET	18.5	-3.0	26	+7.5
Nov 6 · @ CLE	21.5	+3.0	6	-15.5

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Joel Embiid Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Joel Embiid.

Joel Embiid CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Joel Embiid.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	73	11	36
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	73	11	36