NBA · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 113.8 → 112.5 (-1.3 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the ORL @ GSW 1st Half Total moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 24 books
112.5 (12 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move
113.8 to 112.5 (1.3 pts toward Under)
Lane CLV record
NBA first-half game totals: 14 Beat / 5 Tied / 4 Lost (23 measured)

Why is the ORL @ GSW 1st Half Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 10 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 16 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 24 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 112.5 -103 (50.6% across 12 books)
Best price: 112.5 -115 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 112.5 +103 (49.4% across 12 books)
Best price: 113.5 -114 at FanDuel

ORL @ GSW 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM112.5-115112.5-105BetMGM
Caesars113-110113-110Caesars
DraftKings112.5-115112.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel113.5-106113.5-114FanDuel
Fanatics112.5-120112.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX113.5+103113.5-124ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus 112.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ORL @ GSW 1st Half Total

The Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors first-half total opened at 113.8 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:58 PM CT) and currently sits at 112.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.3 pts, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 7:39 AM CT, 10 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors first-half total.

At Sat, Nov 7, 1:44 PM CT, 16 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors first-half total.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 1:58 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +5.1% toward Under across 24 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 1.0 pt median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices Over at 112.5 -103 (50.6% vig-free probability) and Under at 112.5 +103 (49.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 112.5 -115 at BetMGM; Under 113.5 -114 at FanDuel.

In the NBA first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 14 times, tied 5, and lost 4 season to date (23 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 5 Tied, 4 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date14542377.8%
Last 30 days14542377.8%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/orlando-magic-at-golden-state-warriors-1h-total-2026-11-07-34195" title="Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/orlando-magic-at-golden-state-warriors-1h-total-2026-11-07-34195">ORL @ GSW 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>