NBA · TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CTMarket Move: Under 224.5 → 223.5 (-1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NYK @ CLE total moving?

Name: New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers Total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T16:30:56.676Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 10:30 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 1:09 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 47 books: 223.5 (34 consensus books · 47 tracked)
Market Move: 224.5 to 223.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane CLV record: NBA game totals: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)

Why is the NYK @ CLE total moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 30 tracked sportsbooks.
Sat, Nov 7, 12:05 PM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 15 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 223.5 +100 (50% across 34 books)

Best price: 223.5 +100 at ProphetX

Under

Vig-free consensus 223.5 -100 (50% across 34 books)

Best price: 223.5 -105 at DraftKings

NYK @ CLE Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	223.5-110	223.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	223.5-110	223.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	223.5-115	223.5-105	Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	223.5-105	223.5-115	Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	223.5-110	223.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	223.5+100	223.5-106	Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 47 sportsbooks, consensus 223.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: NYK @ CLE Total

The New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers total opened at 224.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 223.5 across 48 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 AM CT, 30 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers total.

At Sat, Nov 7, 12:05 PM CT, 15 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers total.

Across the 47 sportsbooks currently quoting the New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 9.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 34-book consensus prices Over at 223.5 +100 (50.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 223.5 -100 (50.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 223.5 +100 at ProphetX; Under 223.5 -105 at DraftKings.

In the NBA game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	2	0	0	2	100.0%
Last 30 days	2	0	0	2	100.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/new-york-knicks-at-cleveland-cavaliers-total-2026-11-07-34193" title="New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/new-york-knicks-at-cleveland-cavaliers-total-2026-11-07-34193">NYK @ CLE Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftNYK @ CLE · Points

NYK @ CLE · New York Knicks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across New York Knicks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

NYK Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-20.2 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.3 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
89.0	94.4%	94.3	114.5 (-104)	-20.2

Compare NYK Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 114.5 (O -104)DraftKings 114.5 (O -110)BetMGM 114.5 (O -110)Caesars 114.5 (O -105)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Jalen Brunson NYK · Prev 25.5 (0.0)	25.5	29.6%	22.3%(-7.3% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share
#2 Karl-Anthony Towns NYK · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)

New York Knicks (NYK)Team Tide Shift

-20.2 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.3 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

Cleveland Cavaliers (CLE)Team Tide Shift

-6.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.2 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

New York Knicks team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftNYK @ CLE · Points

NYK @ CLE · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Cleveland Cavaliers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

CLE Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-6.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.2 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Donovan Mitchell CLE · Prev 24.5 (-1.0)	23.5	19.8%	21.5%(+1.7% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 James Harden CLE · Prev 18.5 (-1.0)	17.5	16.6%	16.0%(-0.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Evan Mobley CLE · Prev 18.5 (-1.0)	17.5	18.6%	16.0%(-2.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Peyton Watson CLE · Prev 10.5 (+1.0)	11.5	11.3%	10.5%(-0.8% vs Hist)	-2.0	Usage Transfer
#5 Jarrett Allen CLE · Prev 12.5 (-1.0)	11.5	11.4%	10.5%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Meleek Thomas CLE · Prev 7.5 (+4.0)	11.5	12.4%	10.5%(-1.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer

Why is the NYK @ CLE total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NYK @ CLE Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: NYK @ CLE Total

NBA Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

NYK @ CLE · New York Knicks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NYK @ CLE · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NYK @ CLE · New York Knicks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NYK @ CLE · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)