James Harden (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), James Harden's posted points line has held net flat at 17.5.
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (James Harden)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE @ ATL | 17.5 (-115) | — | 24 | Over | |
| CLE @ MIL | 18.5 (-115) | +1.0 | 13 | Under | |
| OKC @ CLE | 18.5 (+102) | 0.0 | 14 | Under | |
| CLE @ OKC | 16.5 (-113) | -2.0 | 19 | Over | |
| PHI @ CLE | 18.5 (+100) | +2.0 | 17 | Under | |
| NYK @ CLE | 17.5 (+100) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
James Harden Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.1).
- Window Open Line
- 17.5
- Current Posted Line
- 17.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 17.4
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 · @ ATL | 17.5 | — | 24 | +6.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ MIL | 18.5 | +1.0 | 13 | -5.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs OKC | 18.5 | 0.0 | 14 | -4.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ OKC | 16.5 | -2.0 | 19 | +2.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs PHI | 18.5 | +2.0 | 17 | -1.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs NYK | 17.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
James Harden Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for James Harden.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for James Harden.
James Harden WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BKN @ CLE | 3-Pointers Made | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 | Lost |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |