Peyton Watson (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Peyton Watson's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 13.5 to 11.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Peyton Watson)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS @ CLE | 13.5 (-115) | — | 22 | Over | |
| CLE @ ATL | 13.5 (-105) | 0.0 | 4 | Under | |
| CLE @ MIL | 13.5 (-109) | 0.0 | 5 | Under | |
| OKC @ CLE | 12.5 (-105) | -1.0 | — | — | |
| PHI @ CLE(Missed 1g) | 10.5 (-104) | -2.0 | 13 | Over | |
| NYK @ CLE | 11.5 (-111) | +1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Peyton Watson Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-2.5).
- Window Open Line
- 13.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.0
- Actual Output Delta
- -2.5
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs WAS | 13.5 | — | 22 | +8.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ ATL | 13.5 | 0.0 | 4 | -9.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ MIL | 13.5 | 0.0 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs OKC | 12.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
| Nov 6 · vs PHI | 10.5 | -2.0 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Nov 7 · vs NYK | 11.5 | +1.0 | — | — |
Peyton Watson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Peyton Watson.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Peyton Watson.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |