NBA · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CTMarket Move: Under 115.5 → 114.5 (-1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total moving?

Name: New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers First-half total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-07T17:02:36.757Z

Prices as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Sat, Nov 7, 11:02 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 12:53 PM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 24 books: 114.5 (18 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move: 115.5 to 114.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half game totals: 14 Beat / 5 Tied / 4 Lost (23 measured)

Why is the NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total moving?

Sat, Nov 7, 10:35 AM CTMarket line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 114.5 +101 (49.8% across 18 books)

Best price: 113.5 -119 at ProphetX

Under

Vig-free consensus 114.5 -101 (50.2% across 18 books)

Best price: 114.5 -110 at BetMGM

NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	114.5-110	114.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	114.5-110	114.5-110	Sat, Nov 7, 3:09 PM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	114.5-108	114.5-112	Sat, Nov 7, 3:23 PM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	114.5-102	114.5-120	Sat, Nov 7, 3:22 PM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	114.5-115	114.5-115	Sat, Nov 7, 3:05 PM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	113.5-119	113.5-101	Sat, Nov 7, 3:14 PM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus 114.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total

The New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers first-half total opened at 115.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 6, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 114.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:24 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 10:35 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers first-half total.

Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 18-book consensus prices Over at 114.5 +101 (49.8% vig-free probability) and Under at 114.5 -101 (50.2% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 113.5 -119 at ProphetX; Under 114.5 -110 at BetMGM.

In the NBA first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 14 times, tied 5, and lost 4 season to date (23 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 5 Tied, 4 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	14	5	4	23	77.8%
Last 30 days	14	5	4	23	77.8%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/new-york-knicks-at-cleveland-cavaliers-1h-total-2026-11-07-34193" title="New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/new-york-knicks-at-cleveland-cavaliers-1h-total-2026-11-07-34193">NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftNYK @ CLE · Points

NYK @ CLE · New York Knicks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across New York Knicks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

NYK Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-20.2 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.3 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
89.0	94.4%	94.3	114.5 (-104)	-20.2

Compare NYK Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 114.5 (O -104)DraftKings 114.5 (O -110)BetMGM 114.5 (O -110)Caesars 114.5 (O -105)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Jalen Brunson NYK · Prev 25.5 (0.0)	25.5	29.6%	22.3%(-7.3% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share
#2 Karl-Anthony Towns NYK · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)

New York Knicks (NYK)Team Tide Shift

-20.2 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.3 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

Cleveland Cavaliers (CLE)Team Tide Shift

-6.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.2 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

New York Knicks team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftNYK @ CLE · Points

NYK @ CLE · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Cleveland Cavaliers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

CLE Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-6.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 103.2 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Donovan Mitchell CLE · Prev 24.5 (-1.0)	23.5	19.8%	21.5%(+1.7% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 James Harden CLE · Prev 18.5 (-1.0)	17.5	16.6%	16.0%(-0.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Evan Mobley CLE · Prev 18.5 (-1.0)	17.5	18.6%	16.0%(-2.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Peyton Watson CLE · Prev 10.5 (+1.0)	11.5	11.3%	10.5%(-0.8% vs Hist)	-2.0	Usage Transfer
#5 Jarrett Allen CLE · Prev 12.5 (-1.0)	11.5	11.4%	10.5%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Meleek Thomas CLE · Prev 7.5 (+4.0)	11.5	12.4%	10.5%(-1.9% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer

Why is the NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: NYK @ CLE 1st Half Total

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 5 Tied, 4 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

NYK @ CLE · New York Knicks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NYK @ CLE · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NYK @ CLE · New York Knicks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NYK @ CLE · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 7, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)