NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: CLEPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Jarrett Allen (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
Jarrett Allen Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Jarrett Allen's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).14.513.712.912.111.310.512.513.512.513.512.511.5Oct 29CLE @ ATLOct 31CLE @ MILNov 2OKC @ CLENov 4CLE @ OKCNov 6PHI @ CLENov 7NYK @ CLE

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Jarrett Allen's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 12.5 to 11.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jarrett Allen)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
CLE @ ATL12.5 (-125)—14Over
CLE @ MIL13.5 (-105)+1.025Over
OKC @ CLE12.5 (-104)-1.014Over
CLE @ OKC13.5 (+100)+1.00Under
PHI @ CLE12.5 (-114)-1.0——
NYK @ CLE11.5 (-125)-1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Jarrett Allen Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +0.8 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+1.8 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.8Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
12.5
Current Posted Line
11.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
13.3
Actual Output Delta
+0.8
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jarrett Allen Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output32014Oct 29@ ATL25Oct 31@ MIL14Nov 2vs OKC0Nov 4@ OKCNov 6vs PHINov 7vs NYK
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 29 · @ ATL12.5—14+1.5
Oct 31 · @ MIL13.5+1.025+11.5
Nov 2 · vs OKC12.5-1.014+1.5
Nov 4 · @ OKC13.5+1.00-13.5
Nov 6 · vs PHI12.5-1.0——
Nov 7 · vs NYK11.5-1.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Jarrett Allen Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Jarrett Allen prop write-up.

Jarrett Allen CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 24BKN @ CLEPointsOver 12.5 (-120) · FanDuel13.521BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Jarrett Allen Prop Write-Ups

Oct 24 CT · BKN @ CLE · PointsFull Write-Up →

Allen's established finishing production and opening-game workload support the scoring threshold without requiring extra minutes.

Counter-Case: Early fouls can interrupt Allen's interior minutes and remove easy finishing chances. Cleveland's guards can also score directly off penetration instead of delivering the roll pass, leaving him efficient but short on attempts.

Jarrett Allen WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 24BKN @ CLEPointsOver 12.513.521Beat

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136