Landry Shamet (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), sportsbooks adjusted Landry Shamet's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 9.5 (+2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Landry Shamet)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ NYK | 7.5 (+102) | — | 13 | Over | |
| NYK @ CHI | 8.5 (+100) | +1.0 | 14 | Over | |
| NYK @ PHI | 8.5 (-102) | 0.0 | 0 | Under | |
| BKN @ NYK | 7.5 (-115) | -1.0 | 22 | Over | |
| CHI @ NYK | 10.5 (-111) | +3.0 | 7 | Under | |
| NYK @ CLE | 9.5 (-115) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Landry Shamet Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +3.7 vs. +2.0 book step adjustment (+1.7 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 7.5
- Current Posted Line
- 9.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.2
- Actual Output Delta
- +3.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 · vs DET | 7.5 | — | 13 | +5.5 |
| Oct 28 · @ CHI | 8.5 | +1.0 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ PHI | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs BKN | 7.5 | -1.0 | 22 | +14.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs CHI | 10.5 | +3.0 | 7 | -3.5 |
| Nov 7 · @ CLE | 9.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Landry Shamet Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)
0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Landry Shamet prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | NYK @ BOS | Points | Over 6.5 (-125) · Caesars | 6.5 | 8 | Tied | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Landry Shamet Prop Write-Ups
Shamet's regular bench workload and perimeter attempt volume support reaching seven points without an expanded role.
Counter-Case: A shorter bench shift can make Shamet dependent on only a few jumpers. Two made threes alone leave him short, so he still needs another scoring contribution. A slow possession game can remove the extra attempt that supplies it.
Landry Shamet WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | NYK @ PHI | 3-Pointers Made | Over 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | Beat |
| Oct 23 | NYK @ BOS | Points | Over 6.5 | 6.5 | 8 | Tied |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |