NBA · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM CTMarket Move: Over 108.5 → 109.5 (+1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the IND @ DAL 1st Half Total moving?

Name: Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks First-half total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T14:50:03.363Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:32 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 8:50 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 10:32 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 23 books: 109.5 (19 consensus books · 23 tracked)
Market Move: 108.5 to 109.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half game totals: 16 Beat / 5 Tied / 6 Lost (27 measured)

Why is the IND @ DAL 1st Half Total moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 8:47 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 109.5 +101 (49.7% across 19 books)

Best price: 109.5 -104 at ProphetX

Under

Vig-free consensus 109.5 -101 (50.3% across 19 books)

Best price: 109.5 -106 at ProphetX

IND @ DAL 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	109.5-110	109.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 10:31 AM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	109.5-105	109.5-115	Mon, Nov 9, 10:29 AM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	109.5-108	109.5-112	Mon, Nov 9, 10:31 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	109.5-110	109.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 10:31 AM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	109.5-110	109.5-120	Mon, Nov 9, 10:31 AM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	109.5-104	109.5-106	Mon, Nov 9, 10:24 AM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus 109.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: IND @ DAL 1st Half Total

The Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks first-half total opened at 108.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:59 PM CT) and currently sits at 109.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:32 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 8:47 AM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks first-half total.

Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 19-book consensus prices Over at 109.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability) and Under at 109.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 109.5 -104 at ProphetX; Under 109.5 -106 at ProphetX.

In the NBA first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 16 times, tied 5, and lost 6 season to date (27 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (16 Beat, 5 Tied, 6 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	16	5	6	27	72.7%
Last 30 days	16	5	6	27	72.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/indiana-pacers-at-dallas-mavericks-1h-total-2026-11-09-34490" title="Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/indiana-pacers-at-dallas-mavericks-1h-total-2026-11-09-34490">IND @ DAL 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftIND @ DAL · Points

IND @ DAL · Indiana Pacers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Indiana Pacers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

IND Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-3.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.8 vs. 111.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
75.0	69.6%	107.8	111.5 (-115)	-3.7

Compare IND Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 111.5 (O -118)DraftKings 112.5 (O -102)BetMGM 111.5 (O -118)Caesars 111.5 (O -115)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Pascal Siakam IND · Prev 20.5 (-1.0)	19.5	17.8%	17.5%(-0.3% vs Hist)	-5.0		Team Tide Shift
#2 Andrew Nembhard IND · Prev 16.5 (-1.0)

Indiana Pacers (IND)Team Tide Shift

-3.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 107.8 vs. 111.5 Posted Team Total)

Dallas Mavericks (DAL)Team Tide Shift

+21.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 135.8 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Indiana Pacers team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftIND @ DAL · Points

IND @ DAL · Dallas Mavericks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–4) (Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Dallas Mavericks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DAL Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 4 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+21.3 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 135.8 vs. 114.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Cooper Flagg DAL · Prev 24.5 (+1.0)	25.5	19.4%	22.3%(+2.9% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Kyrie Irving DAL · Prev 20.5 (+1.0)	21.5	18.1%	18.8%(+0.7% vs Hist)	+3.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 P.J. Washington Jr. DAL · Prev 13.5 (+1.0)	14.5	4.9%	12.7%(+7.8% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Daniel Gafford DAL · Prev 7.5 (+2.0)	9.5	9.9%	8.3%(-1.6% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the IND @ DAL 1st Half Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

IND @ DAL 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: IND @ DAL 1st Half Total

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (16 Beat, 5 Tied, 6 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

IND @ DAL · Indiana Pacers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

IND @ DAL · Dallas Mavericks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–4) (Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

IND @ DAL · Indiana Pacers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

IND @ DAL · Dallas Mavericks WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–4) (Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)