NBA · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 PM CTMarket UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total moving?

Name: Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets First-half total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T15:00:05.048Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:34 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 9:42 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 23 books: 104.5 (12 consensus books · 23 tracked)
Market Move: 104.5 to 104.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half game totals: 16 Beat / 5 Tied / 6 Lost (27 measured)

Why is the CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 8:57 AM CTMarket line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 104.5 -105 (51.1% across 12 books)

Best price: 104.5 -110 at FanDuel

Under

Vig-free consensus 104.5 +105 (48.9% across 12 books)

Best price: 105.5 -118 at DraftKings

CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	104.5-115	104.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	105-115	105-105	Mon, Nov 9, 10:19 AM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	105.5-102	105.5-118	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	104.5-110	104.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	105.5-110	105.5-120	Mon, Nov 9, 10:27 AM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	104.5-124	104.5+108	Mon, Nov 9, 10:24 AM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus 104.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total

The Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets first-half total opened at 104.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:56 PM CT) and currently sits at 104.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:34 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 8:57 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets first-half total.

Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 12-book consensus prices Over at 104.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 104.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 104.5 -110 at FanDuel; Under 105.5 -118 at DraftKings.

In the NBA first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 16 times, tied 5, and lost 6 season to date (27 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (16 Beat, 5 Tied, 6 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	16	5	6	27	72.7%
Last 30 days	16	5	6	27	72.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/cleveland-cavaliers-at-charlotte-hornets-1h-total-2026-11-09-34488" title="Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/cleveland-cavaliers-at-charlotte-hornets-1h-total-2026-11-09-34488">CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferCLE @ CHA · Points

CLE @ CHA · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Cleveland Cavaliers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

CLE Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 2 Core Scorers Up vs. 1 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+14.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 126.0 vs. 111.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
82.5	65.5%	126.0	111.5 (-108)	+14.5

Compare CLE Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 111.5 (O -120)DraftKings 111.5 (O -115)BetMGM 111.5 (O -115)Caesars 111.5 (O -115)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Donovan Mitchell CLE · Prev 23.5 (0.0)	23.5	19.2%	21.1%(+1.9% vs Hist)	-1.0		Steady Share
#2 Evan Mobley CLE · Prev 17.5 (0.0)

Cleveland Cavaliers (CLE)Usage Transfer

+14.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 126.0 vs. 111.5 Posted Team Total)

Charlotte Hornets (CHA)Team Tide Shift

+34.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 138.3 vs. 103.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Cleveland Cavaliers team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftCLE @ CHA · Points

CLE @ CHA · Charlotte Hornets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Charlotte Hornets's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

CHA Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 6 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+34.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 138.3 vs. 103.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Naz Reid CHA · Prev 16.5 (+2.0)	18.5	14.2%	17.9%(+3.7% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Grayson Allen CHA · Prev 14.5 (+2.0)	16.5	11.9%	15.9%(+4.0% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Coby White CHA · Prev 12.5 (+2.0)	14.5	5.8%	14.0%(+8.2% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Moussa Diabate CHA · Prev 7.5 (+1.0)	8.5	8.7%	8.2%(-0.5% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Royce O'Neale CHA · Prev 6.5 (+2.0)	8.5	5.3%	8.2%(+2.9% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Sion James CHA · Prev 5.5 (+2.0)	7.5	7.6%	7.2%(-0.4% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: CLE @ CHA 1st Half Total

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (16 Beat, 5 Tied, 6 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

CLE @ CHA · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

CLE @ CHA · Charlotte Hornets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

CLE @ CHA · Cleveland Cavaliers WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

CLE @ CHA · Charlotte Hornets WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 6:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)