Cooper Flagg (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Cooper Flagg's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 22.5 to 25.5 (+3.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Cooper Flagg)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL @ MIA(Missed 1g) | 22.5 (-102) | — | 29 | Over | |
| OKC @ DAL | 23.5 (-111) | +1.0 | 26 | Over | |
| HOU @ DAL | 23.5 (-130) | 0.0 | 33 | Over | |
| SAC @ DAL | 28.5 (+100) | +5.0 | 17 | Under | |
| DAL @ SAS | 24.5 (-111) | -4.0 | 19 | Under | |
| UTA @ DAL | 25.5 (-118) | +1.0 | 21 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Cooper Flagg Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted +3.0 vs. +1.7 actual output delta (-1.3 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 22.5
- Current Posted Line
- 25.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +3.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 24.2
- Actual Output Delta
- +1.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · @ MIA | 22.5 | — | 29 | +6.5 |
| Oct 28 · vs OKC | 23.5 | +1.0 | 26 | +2.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs HOU | 23.5 | 0.0 | 33 | +9.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs SAC | 28.5 | +5.0 | 17 | -11.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ SAS | 24.5 | -4.0 | 19 | -5.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs UTA | 25.5 | +1.0 | 21 | -4.5 |
Cooper Flagg Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Cooper Flagg prop write-up.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SAC @ DAL | Points | Over 25.5 (-109) · Caesars | 28.5 | 17 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Cooper Flagg Prop Write-Ups
Flagg's recent shot volume supports twenty-six points without requiring an improvement on his latest scoring rate.
Counter-Case: Sacramento can send help early and force Flagg to become a passer instead of a finisher. Fewer free throws or a restrained opening pace could leave too much scoring necessary after halftime.
Cooper Flagg WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SAC @ DAL | Points | Over 25.5 | 28.5 | 17 | Beat |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |