NBA · 1st Half TotalMarket MovementKickoff Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CTMarket Move: Under 119.5 → 118.5 (-1.0 pts)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total moving?

Name: New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors First-half total: Vig-Free Consensus, Modeled Fair Value & Closing-Line Value Telemetry
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk
Published: 2026-11-09T15:20:02.676Z

Prices as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:34 AM CT.

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Nov 9, 9:20 AM CT · Last updated (CT) Mon, Nov 9, 9:36 AM CT

WagerBird Signal Status: - No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 23 books: 118.5 (14 consensus books · 23 tracked)
Market Move: 119.5 to 118.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
Lane CLV record: NBA first-half game totals: 16 Beat / 5 Tied / 6 Lost (27 measured)

Why is the NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total moving?

Mon, Nov 9, 9:18 AM CTMarket line moved 0.5 pts toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Over

Vig-free consensus 118.5 -101 (50.3% across 14 books)

Best price: 118.5 -110 at Caesars

Under

Vig-free consensus 118.5 +101 (49.7% across 14 books)

Best price: 119.5 -112 at FanDuel

NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Sportsbook	Over	Under	Updated (CT)	Execution
BetMGM	118.5-115	118.5-105	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	BetMGM
Caesars	118.5-110	118.5-110	Mon, Nov 9, 10:27 AM CT	Caesars
DraftKings	118.5-112	118.5-108	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	DraftKings
FanDuel	119.5-108	119.5-112	Mon, Nov 9, 10:33 AM CT	FanDuel
Fanatics	118.5-115	118.5-115	Mon, Nov 9, 10:27 AM CT	Fanatics
ProphetX	119.5+106	119.5-127	Mon, Nov 9, 10:24 AM CT	ProphetX

Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus 118.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Trade on Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Market Movement Analysis: NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total

The New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors first-half total opened at 119.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:54 PM CT) and currently sits at 118.5 across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:34 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 9:18 AM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors first-half total.

Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 14-book consensus prices Over at 118.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and Under at 118.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 118.5 -110 at Caesars; Under 119.5 -112 at FanDuel.

In the NBA first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 16 times, tied 5, and lost 6 season to date (27 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (16 Beat, 5 Tied, 6 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Window	Beat	Tied	Lost	Measured	Beat %
Season to date	16	5	6	27	72.7%
Last 30 days	16	5	6	27	72.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-1h-total-2026-11-09-34493" title="New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/new-orleans-pelicans-at-golden-state-warriors-1h-total-2026-11-09-34493">NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Balanced AllocationNOP @ GSW · Points

NOP @ GSW · New Orleans Pelicans WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across New Orleans Pelicans's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

NOP Rotation Mode: Balanced Allocation1 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpBalanced Core-6 Scoring Allocation: Implied Team Total Pressure Neutral

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-12.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 98.7 vs. 111.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
88.0	89.2%	98.7	111.5 (-102)	-12.8

Compare NOP Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 111.5 (O -110)DraftKings 111.5 (O -102)BetMGM 110.5 (O -118)Caesars 111.5 (O -120)Kalshi (Code WBIRD1)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 Zion Williamson NOP · Prev 19.5 (0.0)	19.5	18.4%	17.5%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-2.0		Steady Share
#2 Dejounte Murray NOP · Prev 16.5 (0.0)

New Orleans Pelicans (NOP)Balanced Allocation

-12.8 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 98.7 vs. 111.5 Posted Team Total)

Golden State Warriors (GSW)Team Tide Shift

-25.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.8 vs. 120.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

New Orleans Pelicans team page →

WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftNOP @ GSW · Points

NOP @ GSW · Golden State Warriors WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Golden State Warriors's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

GSW Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted UpTeam Tide Shift (Bullish): Market Expanding Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-25.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.8 vs. 120.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Stephen Curry GSW · Prev 25.5 (+3.0)	28.5	34.9%	23.7%(-11.2% vs Hist)	+5.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Yaxel Lendeborg GSW · Prev 17.5 (+3.0)	20.5	21.5%	17.0%(-4.5% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Brandin Podziemski GSW · Prev 15.5 (0.0)	15.5	15.5%	12.9%(-2.6% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#4 De'Anthony Melton GSW · Prev 8.5 (+1.0)	9.5	9.6%	7.9%(-1.7% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Georges Niang GSW · Prev 6.5 (+2.0)	8.5	10.0%	7.1%(-2.9% vs Hist)	+2.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Gui Santos GSW · Prev 7.5 (+1.0)	8.5	5.8%	7.1%(+1.3% vs Hist)	-4.0	Team Tide Shift

Why is the NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total moving?

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Market Movement Analysis: NOP @ GSW 1st Half Total

NBA First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (16 Beat, 5 Tied, 6 Lost)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

NOP @ GSW · New Orleans Pelicans WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NOP @ GSW · Golden State Warriors WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NOP @ GSW · New Orleans Pelicans WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

NOP @ GSW · Golden State Warriors WagerBird Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Nov 9, 9:00 PM CT)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)