NBA · Home Team TotalKickoff Freeze · Game In Progress

Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards: Home Team Total closing line and CLV

Prices as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:54 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Thu, Nov 12, 5:28 AM ET · Updated Thu, Nov 12, 7:04 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: 106.5 (opened 105.5)
Market Move: 105.5 to 106.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 12 · At close: 1 · Behind: 3 (16 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: DET 53.9% · WAS 46.1%
Consensus Spread: WAS -3.5
Consensus Total: 264.5
Market-Implied Score: DET 130.5 – WAS 134

Market Brief: DET @ WAS Home Team Total

Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Home Team Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 106.5 after opening at 105.5 (15 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA team totals): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 105.5 to 106.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 15 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 106.5 (opened 105.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the DET @ WAS home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the DET @ WAS home team total move from open to close?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET), the line moved from 105.5 to 106.5 toward Over (1.0 pt) across 15 sportsbooks.

What was the DET @ WAS home team total release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 106.5 (opened 105.5). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DET @ WAS

DET @ WAS Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: 106.5 (opened 105.5).

Full market: 5 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The Home Team Total opened 105.5 and closed 106.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no Home Team Total release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 80.0% of moved lines ahead of close (12 Ahead of close · 1 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Oct 21–Nov 8

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	12	1	3	16
Last 30 days	12	1	3	16

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 80% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/detroit-pistons-at-washington-wizards-home-team-total-2026-11-12-34902" title="Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/detroit-pistons-at-washington-wizards-home-team-total-2026-11-12-34902">DET @ WAS Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferDET @ WAS · Points

DET @ WAS · Detroit Pistons WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Detroit Pistons's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DET Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 2 Core Scorers Up vs. 2 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-18.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 99.0 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
88.0	88.9%	99.0	117.0 (+115)	-18.0

Compare DET Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 116.5 (O -115)DraftKings 117.5 (O -105)BetMGM 117.5 (O -110)Fanatics 118.5 (O +115)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Cade Cunningham DET · Prev 25.5 (-1.0)	24.5	24.3%	20.9%(-3.4% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer
#2 Duncan Robinson DET · Prev 15.5 (0.0)	15.5	20.0%	13.2%(-6.8% vs Hist)	+2.0	Steady Share
#3 Daniss Jenkins DET · Prev 10.5 (+4.0)	14.5	13.9%	12.4%(-1.5% vs Hist)	+4.0	Usage Transfer
#4 John Collins DET · Prev 11.5 (+1.0)	12.5	10.4%	10.7%(+0.3% vs Hist)	-2.0	Usage Transfer
#5 Paul Reed DET · Prev 12.5 (-2.0)	10.5	10.2%	9.0%(-1.2% vs Hist)	-5.0	Usage Transfer
#6 Ausar Thompson DET · Prev 10.5 (0.0)	10.5	10.1%	9.0%(-1.1% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share

Detroit Pistons (DET)Usage Transfer

-18.0 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 99.0 vs. 117.0 Posted Team Total)

Washington Wizards (WAS)Team Tide Shift

+4.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 111.0 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Detroit Pistons team page →

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDET @ WAS · Points

DET @ WAS · Washington Wizards WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Washington Wizards's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

WAS Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

+4.5 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 111.0 vs. 106.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
87.0	78.4%	111.0	106.5 (-106)	+4.5

Compare WAS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 106.5 (O -106)DraftKings 105.5 (O -115)BetMGM 106.5 (O -110)Fanatics 106.5 (O -110)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Anthony Davis WAS · Prev 22.5 (-1.0)	21.5	21.2%	20.2%(-1.0% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Trae Young WAS · Prev 18.5 (-2.0)	16.5	12.5%	15.5%(+3.0% vs Hist)	-3.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 AJ Dybantsa WAS · Prev 17.5 (-1.0)	16.5	12.4%	15.5%(+3.1% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Kyshawn George WAS · Prev 14.5 (0.0)	14.5	17.3%	13.6%(-3.7% vs Hist)	0.0	Steady Share
#5 Tre Johnson WAS · Prev 7.5 (+2.0)	9.5	6.7%	8.9%(+2.2% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer
#6 Alexandre Sarr WAS · Prev 10.5 (-2.0)	8.5	8.3%	8.0%(-0.3% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Washington Wizards team page →

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: DET @ WAS Home Team Total

What was the DET @ WAS home team total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the DET @ WAS home team total move from open to close?

What was the DET @ WAS home team total release result and closing consensus?

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DET @ WAS

DET @ WAS Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

NBA Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

DET @ WAS · Detroit Pistons WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DET @ WAS · Washington Wizards WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DET @ WAS · Detroit Pistons WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

DET @ WAS · Washington Wizards WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)