NBA · MoneylineKickoff Freeze · Game In Progress

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves: moneyline closing line and CLV

Prices as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:01 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Thu, Nov 12, 2:56 PM ET · Updated Thu, Nov 12, 8:04 PM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: MIN -225 (opened -220)
Market Move: MIN 68.8% to 69.2% (0.5% implied probability toward MIN)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 3 · At close: 0 · Behind: 1 (4 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: DAL 22.1% · MIN 77.9%
Consensus Spread: MIN -9.5
Consensus Total: 230.5
Market-Implied Score: DAL 110.5 – MIN 120

Market Brief: DAL @ MIN Moneyline

Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves Moneyline: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at MIN -225 after opening at MIN -220 (57 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA moneylines): 75.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 30–Nov 9.

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET), implied probability moved from 68.8% to 69.2% toward MIN (0.5% implied probability) across 57 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: MIN -225 (opened -220). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the DAL @ MIN moneyline closing and opening consensus line?

How did the DAL @ MIN moneyline move from open to close?

Since open (Thu, Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET), implied probability moved from 68.8% to 69.2% toward MIN (0.5% implied probability) across 57 sportsbooks.

What was the DAL @ MIN moneyline release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: MIN -225 (opened -220). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

Pre-Game Market Telemetry Video: DAL @ MIN

DAL @ MIN Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: MIN -225 (opened -220).

Full market: 45 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

MIN moneyline opened -220 and closed -225 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no moneyline release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NBA Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 75.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 30–Nov 9

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	3	0	1	4
Last 30 days	3	0	1	4

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 75% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/dallas-mavericks-at-minnesota-timberwolves-moneyline-2026-11-12-34903" title="Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/dallas-mavericks-at-minnesota-timberwolves-moneyline-2026-11-12-34903">DAL @ MIN Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDAL @ MIN · Points

DAL @ MIN · Dallas Mavericks WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Dallas Mavericks's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

DAL Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-10.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 99.6 vs. 110.5 Posted Team Total)

6 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
80.0	80.3%	99.6	110.5 (-105)	-10.9

Compare DAL Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 110.5 (O -114)DraftKings 110.5 (O -105)BetMGM 110.5 (O -110)Caesars 110.5 (O -115)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Cooper Flagg DAL · Prev 24.5 (0.0)	24.5	24.0%	22.2%(-1.8% vs Hist)	-4.0	Steady Share
#2 Kyrie Irving DAL · Prev 21.5 (+1.0)	22.5	22.7%	20.4%(-2.3% vs Hist)	+2.0	Usage Transfer
#3 P.J. Washington Jr. DAL · Prev 13.5 (-1.0)	12.5	8.7%	11.3%(+2.6% vs Hist)	-1.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Naji Marshall DAL · Prev 9.5 (-1.0)	8.5	8.8%	7.7%(-1.1% vs Hist)	-5.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Zaccharie Risacher DAL · Prev 6.5 (-2.0)	4.5	5.0%	4.1%(-0.9% vs Hist)	-6.0	Team Tide Shift
#6 Daniel Gafford DAL · Prev 9.5 (-2.0)	7.5	11.1%	6.8%(-4.3% vs Hist)	-2.0	Team Tide Shift

Dallas Mavericks (DAL)Team Tide Shift

-10.9 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 99.6 vs. 110.5 Posted Team Total)

Minnesota Timberwolves (MIN)Team Tide Shift

-10.4 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.1 vs. 115.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

Dallas Mavericks team page →

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDAL @ MIN · Points

DAL @ MIN · Minnesota Timberwolves WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Minnesota Timberwolves's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

MIN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-10.4 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.1 vs. 115.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
87.0	82.8%	105.1	115.5 (-118)	-10.4

Compare MIN Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 115.5 DraftKings 115.5 BetMGM 115.5 (O -118)Caesars 115.5 Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 LaMelo Ball MIN · Prev 21.5 (-1.0)	20.5	19.9%	17.7%(-2.2% vs Hist)	+1.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 Ayo Dosunmu MIN · Prev 18.5 (-1.0)	17.5	19.9%	15.2%(-4.7% vs Hist)	+3.0	Team Tide Shift
#3 Jaden McDaniels MIN · Prev 17.5 (-1.0)	16.5	16.1%	14.3%(-1.8% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 Jonathan Kuminga MIN · Prev 14.5 (-1.0)	13.5	10.3%	11.7%(+1.4% vs Hist)	0.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 Rudy Gobert MIN · Prev 8.5 (+1.0)	9.5	6.8%	8.2%(+1.4% vs Hist)	+1.0	Usage Transfer
#6 Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN · Prev 11.5 (-2.0)	9.5	9.8%	8.2%(-1.6% vs Hist)	-5.0	Team Tide Shift