NBA Player Props vs. close: Ahead: 99 · At close: 13 · Behind: 46
ENES
Posted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)Locked Release · Opens at the Final

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Prop (Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves, ): Posted Line 5.5 vs WAGERBIRD Fair Line

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Read the Release on WAGERBIRD →WAGERBIRD Fair Line: —
Posted Prop Line
Locked Until Start
ProphetX
WAGERBIRD Fair Line
—
—
Posted Line Drift
5.5 → 5.5 (0.0)
Last 6 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
DAL @ MIN
NBA Props Lane vs. Close
99 / 13 / 46
Ahead / At close / Behind

Sportsbook Posted Rebounds Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted rebounds total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 31 to Nov 12), Jaden McDaniels's posted rebounds line has held net flat at 5.5.6.55.95.34.74.13.55.55.54.55.55.55.5Oct 31MIN @ SASNov 2MIL @ MINNov 4MIN @ HOUNov 6MIN @ NOPNov 8UTA @ MINNov 12DAL @ MIN

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 31 to Nov 12), Jaden McDaniels's posted rebounds line has held net flat at 5.5.

6-Game Posted Rebounds Ledger (Jaden McDaniels)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
MIN @ SAS5.5 (-106)—3Under
MIL @ MIN5.5 (-105)0.06Over
MIN @ HOU4.5 (-142)-1.08Over
MIN @ NOP5.5 (-125)+1.06Over
UTA @ MIN5.5 (-101)0.06Over
DAL @ MIN5.5 (-103)0.0——

Canonical pre-game posted line across 6 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Jaden McDaniels Rebounds Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0
Window Open Line
5.5
Current Posted Line
5.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
5.8
Actual Output Delta
+0.3
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jaden McDaniels Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Rebounds Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1023Oct 31@ SAS6Nov 2vs MIL8Nov 4@ HOU6Nov 6@ NOP6Nov 8vs UTANov 12vs DAL
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 31 · @ SAS5.5—3-2.5
Nov 2 · vs MIL5.50.06+0.5
Nov 4 · @ HOU4.5-1.08+3.5
Nov 6 · @ NOP5.5+1.06+0.5
Nov 8 · vs UTA5.50.06+0.5
Nov 12 · vs DAL5.50.0——
WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftDAL @ MIN · Points

DAL @ MIN · Minnesota Timberwolves WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–6) ()

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Minnesota Timberwolves's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

MIN Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 5 of 6 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-10.4 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 105.1 vs. 115.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total
Minnesota Timberwolves Core-6 Prop Sum 87.0 vs Implied Team Total 105.1 vs Posted Team Total 115.5Core-6 Prop Sum87.0Implied Team Total105.1Posted Team Total115.5
Core-6 SumCore-6 ShareImplied TotalPosted TotalReconciliation Gap
87.082.8%105.1115.5 (-118)-10.4
Core-6 PlayerTonight LineTeam Scoring Share %Tonight's Implied Prop Share %6-Game Line Drift6G TrendOutcome Tag
#1
LaMelo Ball
MIN · Prev 21.5 (-1.0)
20.519.9%17.7%(-2.2% vs Hist)+1.0LaMelo Ball 6-game posted line trend from 19.5 to 20.5Team Tide Shift
#2
Ayo Dosunmu
MIN · Prev 18.5 (-1.0)
17.519.9%15.2%(-4.7% vs Hist)+3.0Ayo Dosunmu 6-game posted line trend from 14.5 to 17.5Team Tide Shift
#3
Jaden McDaniels
MIN · Prev 17.5 (-1.0)
16.516.1%14.3%(-1.8% vs Hist)0.0Jaden McDaniels 6-game posted line trend from 16.5 to 16.5Team Tide Shift
#4
Jonathan Kuminga
MIN · Prev 14.5 (-1.0)
13.510.3%11.7%(+1.4% vs Hist)0.0Jonathan Kuminga 6-game posted line trend from 13.5 to 13.5Team Tide Shift
#5
Rudy Gobert
MIN · Prev 8.5 (+1.0)
9.56.8%8.2%(+1.4% vs Hist)+1.0Rudy Gobert 6-game posted line trend from 8.5 to 9.5Usage Transfer
#6
Terrence Shannon Jr.
MIN · Prev 11.5 (-2.0)
9.59.8%8.2%(-1.6% vs Hist)-5.0Terrence Shannon Jr. 6-game posted line trend from 14.5 to 9.5Team Tide Shift
Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.
Verified Player Write-Up Receipts1 Tracked Write-Up

Jaden McDaniels Prop Write-Up Receipts: Results & Closing-Line Timing

1 active Jaden McDaniels prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Jaden McDaniels vs. close
0 Ahead · 0 At close · 0 Behind
0 Settled Receipts
Date (ET)MatchupMarketResultRelease QuoteClosing LineActualvs. CloseWrite-Up
Nov 12DAL @ MINRebounds—4.5 (-145) · Fanatics5.5——Read Write-Up →

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Timing (99 Ahead, 13 At close, 46 Behind)

Every release is settled on the final stat line. Closing-line timing compares each timestamped release line and price with the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number; it measures entry timing, not the result (through Nov 11 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowAhead of closeAt the closeBehind close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)991346
Last 30 days (from Oct 13 ET)991346