LaMelo Ball (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted LaMelo Ball's posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 22.5 to 21.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (LaMelo Ball)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW @ MIN | 22.5 (+100) | — | 8 | Under | |
| LAC @ MIN | 20.5 (-102) | -2.0 | 24 | Over | |
| MIN @ SAS | 19.5 (-110) | -1.0 | 10 | Under | |
| MIL @ MIN | 20.5 (-115) | +1.0 | 34 | Over | |
| MIN @ HOU | 19.5 (-102) | -1.0 | 20 | Over | |
| MIN @ NOP | 21.5 (-113) | +2.0 | 22 | Over |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
LaMelo Ball Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -2.8 actual output delta (-1.8 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 22.5
- Current Posted Line
- 21.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 19.7
- Actual Output Delta
- -2.8
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs GSW | 22.5 | — | 8 | -14.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs LAC | 20.5 | -2.0 | 24 | +3.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ SAS | 19.5 | -1.0 | 10 | -9.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs MIL | 20.5 | +1.0 | 34 | +13.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ HOU | 19.5 | -1.0 | 20 | +0.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ NOP | 21.5 | +2.0 | 22 | +0.5 |
LaMelo Ball Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for LaMelo Ball.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for LaMelo Ball.
LaMelo Ball WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | MIN @ ORL | 3-Pointers Made | Over 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | Tied |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |