Jaden McDaniels (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted Jaden McDaniels's posted points line upward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 16.5 to 17.5 (+1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jaden McDaniels)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSW @ MIN | 16.5 (-115) | — | 19 | Over | |
| LAC @ MIN | 17.5 (-113) | +1.0 | 23 | Over | |
| MIN @ SAS | 16.5 (-113) | -1.0 | 19 | Over | |
| MIL @ MIN | 17.5 (-115) | +1.0 | 13 | Under | |
| MIN @ HOU | 16.5 (-104) | -1.0 | 14 | Under | |
| MIN @ NOP | 17.5 (+103) | +1.0 | 23 | Over |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Jaden McDaniels Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Actual output +2.0 vs. +1.0 book step adjustment (+1.0 Unpriced Book Lag).
- Window Open Line
- 16.5
- Current Posted Line
- 17.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 18.5
- Actual Output Delta
- +2.0
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs GSW | 16.5 | — | 19 | +2.5 |
| Oct 30 · vs LAC | 17.5 | +1.0 | 23 | +5.5 |
| Oct 31 · @ SAS | 16.5 | -1.0 | 19 | +2.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs MIL | 17.5 | +1.0 | 13 | -4.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ HOU | 16.5 | -1.0 | 14 | -2.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ NOP | 17.5 | +1.0 | 23 | +5.5 |
Jaden McDaniels Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jaden McDaniels.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jaden McDaniels.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |