NBA · TotalFinal · Settled

Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers: total closing line and CLV

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Tue, Nov 10, 1:40 AM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 AM ET

Release Line / Price: Totals: Over 217.5 (-109) at PX · Tue, Nov 10, 5:32 AM ET
Closing Consensus: 217.5 (opened 217.5)
Market Move: 217.5 to 217.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
WAGERBIRD Fair Line: 218.27
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 2 · At close: 0 · Behind: 1 (3 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: BOS 73.2% · PHI 26.8%
Consensus Spread: PHI +24.5
Consensus Total: 224.5
Market-Implied Score: BOS 124.5 – PHI 100

Market Brief: BOS @ PHI Total

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Total: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at 217.5 after opening at 217.5 (46 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA game totals): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 27–Nov 10.

The line is unchanged since open (217.5) across 46 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD's release (Totals: Over 217.5 (-109) at PX, Tue, Nov 10, 5:32 AM ET). Game Result: WON (Final BOS 123, PHI 101). Closing Line Value: Released at 217.5 (-109) and closed at 217.5 (+100) — Behind close (-4.1%); the game result settles strictly on the final score against our release number. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 217.5 (opened 217.5).

What was the BOS @ PHI total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the BOS @ PHI total move from open to close?

The line is unchanged since open (217.5) across 46 sportsbooks.

What was the BOS @ PHI total release result and closing consensus?

WAGERBIRD's release (Totals: Over 217.5 (-109) at PX, Tue, Nov 10, 5:32 AM ET). Game Result: WON (Final BOS 123, PHI 101). Closing Line Value: Released at 217.5 (-109) and closed at 217.5 (+100) — Behind close (-4.1%); the game result settles strictly on the final score against our release number. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: 217.5 (opened 217.5).

BOS @ PHI Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: 217.5 (opened 217.5).

Full market: 1 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

The total opened 217.5 and closed 217.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WONFinal: BOS 123, PHI 101
Totals: Over 217.5 (-109)Strength 56
Released -109 at PX, Tue, Nov 10, 5:32 AM ET · WAGERBIRD Fair Line 218.27
Behind close

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

Read the full write-up (drivers & Red Team) in the Terminal →

The WAGERBIRD Thesis: Totals: Over 217.5 (-109)

Investment Committee Thesis

Boston's sustained three-point volume and Philadelphia's starting offense can generate enough efficient possessions to clear the full-game total.

NBA Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (2 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 27–Nov 10

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	2	0	1	3
Last 30 days	2	0	1	3

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/boston-celtics-at-philadelphia-76ers-total-2026-11-10-34652" title="Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/boston-celtics-at-philadelphia-76ers-total-2026-11-10-34652">BOS @ PHI Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferBOS @ PHI · Points

BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Boston Celtics's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

BOS Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 1 Core Scorer Up vs. 2 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.9 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
79.5	83.8%	94.9	109.5 (-105)	-14.6

Compare BOS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 109.5 (O -112)DraftKings 109.5 (O -105)BetMGM 109.5 (O -110)Caesars 109.5 (O -110)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 BOS · Prev 26.5 (0.0)	26.5	28.6%	24.2%(-4.4% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share

Boston Celtics (BOS)Usage Transfer

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.9 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Philadelphia 76ers (PHI)Team Tide Shift

-3.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 104.8 vs. 108.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftBOS @ PHI · Points

BOS @ PHI · Philadelphia 76ers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Philadelphia 76ers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHI Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-3.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 104.8 vs. 108.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

BOS @ PHI · BOS · AssistsSettled Release · Receipt

Jayson Tatum · Assists

Release & Line: Over 6.5
Fair Line: 8.3
Book: ProphetX (-122)

Tatum's established distributing role and perimeter finishing options support a sustained assist total.

ProphetX: Over 6.5 (-122)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

BOS @ PHI · BOS · AssistsSettled Release · Receipt

Release & Line: Over 4.5
Fair Line: 5.6
Book: DraftKings (-125)

White's current setup rate and established scoring outlets support continued assist production.

DraftKings: Over 4.5 (-125)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

BOS @ PHI · PHI · PointsSettled Release · Receipt

Release & Line: Under 18.5
Fair Line: 17.1
Book: ProphetX (-120)

Embiid's current scoring efficiency and shared offensive workload support a modest individual points total.

ProphetX: Under 18.5 (-105)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Tyrese Maxey PHI · Prev 25.5 (-2.0)	23.5	23.2%	21.7%(-1.5% vs Hist)	-4.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 PHI · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	21.0%	19.8%(-1.2% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#3 PHI · Prev 21.5 (-3.0)	18.5	14.4%	17.1%(+2.7% vs Hist)	-6.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 PHI · Prev 17.5 (-3.0)	14.5	13.7%	13.4%(-0.3% vs Hist)	-5.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 PHI · Prev 12.5 (-1.0)	11.5	13.1%	10.6%(-2.5% vs Hist)	-5.0	Team Tide Shift

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: BOS @ PHI Total

What was the BOS @ PHI total closing and opening consensus line?

How did the BOS @ PHI total move from open to close?

What was the BOS @ PHI total release result and closing consensus?

BOS @ PHI Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

The WAGERBIRD Thesis: Totals: Over 217.5 (-109)

NBA Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BOS @ PHI · Philadelphia 76ers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jayson Tatum · Assists

BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BOS @ PHI · Philadelphia 76ers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jayson Tatum · Assists