NBA · MoneylineFinal · Settled

Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers: moneyline closing line and CLV

Prices as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:48 PM ET.

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released Tue, Nov 10, 3:14 AM ET · Updated Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 AM ET

Desk Status: No Release · Market Movement Only
Closing Consensus: PHI +102.5 (opened +100)
Market Move: PHI 50.0% to 49.4% (0.6% implied probability toward BOS)
Lane closing-line timing: Ahead: 3 · At close: 0 · Behind: 1 (4 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability: BOS 73.2% · PHI 26.8%
Consensus Spread: PHI +24.5
Consensus Total: 224.5
Market-Implied Score: BOS 124.5 – PHI 100

Market Brief: BOS @ PHI Moneyline

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers Moneyline: pre-kickoff closing consensus settled at PHI +102.5 after opening at PHI +100 (56 sportsbooks tracked ahead of Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET kickoff). Lane Closing Line Value (CLV) (NBA moneylines): 75.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 30–Nov 9.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET), implied probability moved from 50.0% to 49.4% toward BOS (0.6% implied probability) across 56 sportsbooks. Pre-kickoff closing consensus: PHI +102.5 (opened +100). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

What was the BOS @ PHI moneyline closing and opening consensus line?

How did the BOS @ PHI moneyline move from open to close?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET), implied probability moved from 50.0% to 49.4% toward BOS (0.6% implied probability) across 56 sportsbooks.

What was the BOS @ PHI moneyline release result and closing consensus?

Pre-kickoff closing consensus: PHI +102.5 (opened +100). WAGERBIRD had no release on this market.

BOS @ PHI Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Closing consensus before kickoff: PHI +102.5 (opened +100).

Full market: 9 sportsbooks. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

PHI moneyline opened +100 and closed +102.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

WAGERBIRD had no moneyline release on this game.

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares the release with the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result.

NBA Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 75.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 0 At the close · 1 Behind close) · Oct 30–Nov 9

Window	Ahead	At close	Behind	Measured
Season to date	3	0	1	4
Last 30 days	3	0	1	4

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 75% finished ahead of the close.

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/boston-celtics-at-philadelphia-76ers-moneyline-2026-11-10-34652" title="Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/boston-celtics-at-philadelphia-76ers-moneyline-2026-11-10-34652">BOS @ PHI Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Usage TransferBOS @ PHI · Points

BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Boston Celtics's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

BOS Rotation Mode: Usage TransferUsage Transfer: 1 Core Scorer Up vs. 2 DownInternal Rotation Usage Transfer: Scoring Share Redistributing Inside Core-6 Rotation

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.9 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

Core-6 Sum	Core-6 Share	Implied Total	Posted Total	Reconciliation Gap
79.5	83.8%	94.9	109.5 (-105)	-14.6

Compare BOS Team Total Partner Quotes:

FanDuel 109.5 (O -112)DraftKings 109.5 (O -105)BetMGM 109.5 (O -110)Caesars 109.5 (O -110)

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	6G Trend	Outcome Tag
#1 BOS · Prev 26.5 (0.0)	26.5	28.6%	24.2%(-4.4% vs Hist)	0.0		Steady Share

Boston Celtics (BOS)Usage Transfer

-14.6 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 94.9 vs. 109.5 Posted Team Total)

Philadelphia 76ers (PHI)Team Tide Shift

-3.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 104.8 vs. 108.5 Posted Team Total)

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team pages.

WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift · Team Tide ShiftBOS @ PHI · Points

BOS @ PHI · Philadelphia 76ers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Reconciles bottom-up pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Philadelphia 76ers's primary 6-man rotation against the top-down posted team total.

PHI Rotation Mode: Team Tide ShiftTeam Tide Shift: 4 of 5 Core-6 Scorers Adjusted DownTeam Tide Shift (Bearish): Market Compressing Core-6 Scoring Ceiling

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

-3.7 Pts Desk Dislocation (Core-6 Implies 104.8 vs. 108.5 Posted Team Total)

7 Licensed Books Quoting Team Total

NBA Player Props · vs. close: 96 Ahead / 12 At close / 42 BehindThrough Nov 10 ET

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

All NBA Player Props →Audit CSV

BOS @ PHI · BOS · AssistsSettled Release · Receipt

Jayson Tatum · Assists

Release & Line: Over 6.5
Fair Line: 8.3
Book: ProphetX (-122)

Tatum's established distributing role and perimeter finishing options support a sustained assist total.

ProphetX: Over 6.5 (-122)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

BOS @ PHI · BOS · AssistsSettled Release · Receipt

Release & Line: Over 4.5
Fair Line: 5.6
Book: DraftKings (-125)

White's current setup rate and established scoring outlets support continued assist production.

DraftKings: Over 4.5 (-125)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

BOS @ PHI · PHI · PointsSettled Release · Receipt

Release & Line: Under 18.5
Fair Line: 17.1
Book: ProphetX (-120)

Embiid's current scoring efficiency and shared offensive workload support a modest individual points total.

ProphetX: Under 18.5 (-105)Kalshi · Code: WBIRD1

Core-6 Player	Tonight Line	Team Scoring Share %	Tonight's Implied Prop Share %	6-Game Line Drift	Outcome Tag
#1 Tyrese Maxey PHI · Prev 25.5 (-2.0)	23.5	23.2%	21.7%(-1.5% vs Hist)	-4.0	Team Tide Shift
#2 PHI · Prev 21.5 (0.0)	21.5	21.0%	19.8%(-1.2% vs Hist)	-2.0	Steady Share
#3 PHI · Prev 21.5 (-3.0)	18.5	14.4%	17.1%(+2.7% vs Hist)	-6.0	Team Tide Shift
#4 PHI · Prev 17.5 (-3.0)	14.5	13.7%	13.4%(-0.3% vs Hist)	-5.0	Team Tide Shift
#5 PHI · Prev 12.5 (-1.0)	11.5	13.1%	10.6%(-2.5% vs Hist)	-5.0	Team Tide Shift

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Market Brief: BOS @ PHI Moneyline

What was the BOS @ PHI moneyline closing and opening consensus line?

How did the BOS @ PHI moneyline move from open to close?

What was the BOS @ PHI moneyline release result and closing consensus?

BOS @ PHI Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

Settled Release Receipt: Game Result & Closing Line Value (CLV)

NBA Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BOS @ PHI · Philadelphia 76ers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jayson Tatum · Assists

BOS @ PHI · Boston Celtics WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

BOS @ PHI · Philadelphia 76ers WAGERBIRD Core-6 Allocation Drift (Players 1–5) (Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET)

Team Total Reconciliation Gap (Bottom-Up Core-6 Prop Sum vs. Posted Team Total)

Released Player Props & Closing-Line Timing (96 Ahead, 12 At close, 42 Behind)

Jayson Tatum · Assists