ENES
CFB · 1st Half SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Wed, Nov 11, 10:04 AM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 22 books
MEM -2.5 (18 consensus books · 22 tracked)
Market Move
USF +2.5 to +2.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MEM 60.8% · USF 39.2%
Consensus Spread
USF +3.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
MEM 27 – USF 23.5

Market Brief: MEM @ USF 1st Half Spread

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MEM -2.5 -106 / USF +2.5 +106 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 1:59 AM ET). Best price per side: MEM -2.5 -108 at ProphetX; USF +2.5 +100 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (USF +2.5) across 22 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the MEM @ USF 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MEM -2.5 -106 / USF +2.5 +106 across 18 consensus sportsbooks (22 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 1:59 AM ET). Best price per side: MEM -2.5 -108 at ProphetX; USF +2.5 +100 at ProphetX.

How has the MEM @ USF 1st half spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (USF +2.5) across 22 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MEM @ USF 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the MEM @ USF 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward USF across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MEM
Vig-free consensus -2.5 -106 (51.4% across 18 books)
Best price: -2.5 -108 at ProphetX
USF
Vig-free consensus +2.5 +106 (48.6% across 18 books)
Best price: +2.5 +100 at ProphetX

MEM @ USF 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMEMUSFExecution
BetMGM-2.5-115+2.5-105BetMGM
Caesars-2.5-117+2.5-106Caesars
DraftKings-2.5-115+2.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel-2.5-112+2.5-108FanDuel
Fanatics-2.5-120+2.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX-2.5-108+2.5+100ProphetX

Full market: 22 sportsbooks, consensus MEM -2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: MEM @ USF 1st Half Spread

Across 22 tracked sportsbooks, the MEM @ USF 1st Half Spread moved from an opening number of USF +2.5 to USF +2.5.

Best current licensed partner quotes: MEM -2.5 -108 at ProphetX; USF +2.5 +100 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 3.0 pts across the market.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-1h-spread-2026-11-12-27472" title="Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-1h-spread-2026-11-12-27472">MEM @ USF 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>