CFB · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Update

Why is the MEM @ USF Home Team Total moving?

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (ET)

WAGERBIRD Signal Status
- No Release (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 12 books
22.5 (6 consensus books · 12 tracked)
Market Move
22.5 to 22.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
CFB team totals: 33 Beat / 6 Tied / 22 Lost (61 measured)

Market Brief: MEM @ USF Home Team Total

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 22.5 -107 / Under 22.5 +107 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 22.5 -120 at Fanatics; Under 23.5 -112 at BetMGM.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 22.5 to 22.5 (0.0 pts) across 13 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the MEM @ USF home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 22.5 -107 / Under 22.5 +107 across 6 consensus sportsbooks (12 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 22.5 -120 at Fanatics; Under 23.5 -112 at BetMGM.

How has the MEM @ USF home team total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 22.5 to 22.5 (0.0 pts) across 13 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MEM @ USF home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the MEM @ USF Home Team Total moving?

  • Best available partner price toward Under 23.5: BetMGM (-110).

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 22.5 -107 (51.7% across 6 books)
Best price: 22.5 -120 at Fanatics
Under
Vig-free consensus 22.5 +107 (48.3% across 6 books)
Best price: 23.5 -112 at BetMGM

MEM @ USF Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM23.5-10523.5-112BetMGM
Caesars23.5-10623.5-127Caesars
DraftKings22.5-12522.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel23.5-10423.5-122FanDuel
Fanatics22.5-12022.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 12 sportsbooks, consensus 22.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MEM @ USF Home Team Total

The Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls South Florida Bulls team total opened at 22.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 22.5 across 13 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 3:13 PM ET.

As of Tue, Nov 10, 10:15 AM ET, WAGERBIRD Modeled Fair Line and vig-free consensus price Under at 23.5 across 3 tracked sportsbooks, while the best available partner quote stands at BetMGM (-110).

Across the 12 sportsbooks currently quoting the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls South Florida Bulls team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 6-book consensus prices Over at 22.5 -107 (51.7% vig-free probability) and Under at 22.5 +107 (48.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 22.5 -120 at Fanatics; Under 23.5 -112 at BetMGM.

In the CFB team totals betting lane, WAGERBIRD's released positions have beaten the release book's closing line 33 times, tied 6, and lost 22 season to date (61 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (33 Beat, 6 Tied, 22 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasured
Season to date3362261
Last 30 days101617

WAGERBIRD measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each release's line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the release was posted (settled releases through 2026-11-09).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-home-team-total-2026-11-12-27472" title="Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-home-team-total-2026-11-12-27472">MEM @ USF Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>