ENES
CFB · TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 41 books
50.5 (29 consensus books · 41 tracked)
Market Move
50.5 to 50.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.8 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 95 · At close: 8 · Behind: 46 (149 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MEM 61.1% · USF 38.9%
Consensus Spread
USF +3.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
MEM 27 – USF 23.5

Market Brief: MEM @ USF Total

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 50.5 +102 / Under 50.5 -102 across 29 consensus sportsbooks (41 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 50 -110 at Fanatics; Under 50.5 -109 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (50.5) across 43 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the MEM @ USF total consensus line and best price per side?

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 50.5 +102 / Under 50.5 -102 across 29 consensus sportsbooks (41 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 50 -110 at Fanatics; Under 50.5 -109 at ProphetX.

How has the MEM @ USF total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (50.5) across 43 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MEM @ USF total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the MEM @ USF total moving?

  • Market line moved 0.8 pts toward Over across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 50.5 +102 (49.6% across 29 books)
Best price: 50 -110 at Fanatics
Under
Vig-free consensus 50.5 -102 (50.4% across 29 books)
Best price: 50.5 -109 at ProphetX

MEM @ USF Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM50.5-10850.5-110BetMGM
Caesars50.5-10650.5-114Caesars
DraftKings50.5-10550.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel50.5-11050.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics50-11050-110Fanatics
ProphetX50.5+10450.5-109ProphetX

Full market: 41 sportsbooks, consensus 50.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MEM @ USF Total

The Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls total opened at 50.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 50.5 across 43 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 9:56 AM ET, 8 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 0.8 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls total.

Across the 41 sportsbooks currently quoting the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 29-book consensus prices Over at 50.5 +102 (49.6% vig-free probability) and Under at 50.5 -102 (50.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 50 -110 at Fanatics; Under 50.5 -109 at ProphetX.

In the CFB game totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 95 · At the close: 8 · Behind close: 46 (149 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 67.1% of moved lines ahead of close (94 Ahead of close · 8 At the close · 46 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 10

Release Record — CFB game totals, last 30 days (Oct 13–Nov 10): 59-47, +24.3u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date95846149
Last 30 days67436107

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-total-2026-11-12-27472" title="Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-total-2026-11-12-27472">MEM @ USF Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>