Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Desk Status
- No Release · Market Movement Only
- Current Consensus across 48 books
- MEM -158 (48 consensus books · 48 tracked)
- Market Move
- USF 40.0% to 40.8% (0.8% implied probability toward USF)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MEM 61.2% · USF 38.8%
- Consensus Spread
- USF +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 50.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MEM 27 – USF 23.5
Market Brief: MEM @ USF Moneyline
Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MEM -158 / USF +158 across 48 consensus sportsbooks (48 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:53 PM ET). Best price per side: MEM -156 at ProphetX; USF +152 at ProphetX.
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 40.0% to 40.8% toward USF (0.8% implied probability) across 48 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).
What is the MEM @ USF moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at MEM -158 / USF +158 across 48 consensus sportsbooks (48 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:53 PM ET). Best price per side: MEM -156 at ProphetX; USF +152 at ProphetX.
How has the MEM @ USF moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 40.0% to 40.8% toward USF (0.8% implied probability) across 48 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MEM @ USF moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET).
Why is the MEM @ USF moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward USF across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MEM @ USF Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 48 sportsbooks, consensus MEM -158. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MEM @ USF Moneyline
The Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls moneyline opened at 40.0% implied probability for USF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 40.8% implied probability for USF across 48 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.8% implied probability, with net market movement toward USF. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 4:53 PM ET.
At Wed, Nov 11, 12:45 PM ET, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USF by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls moneyline.
Across the 48 sportsbooks currently quoting the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 9.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 48-book consensus prices MEM at -158 (61.2% vig-free probability) and USF at +158 (38.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MEM -156 at ProphetX; USF +152 at ProphetX.
In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 19 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 7
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-moneyline-2026-11-12-27472" title="Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/memphis-tigers-at-south-florida-bulls-moneyline-2026-11-12-27472">MEM @ USF Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>