Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Market Movement Analysis: MEM @ USF 1st Quarter Moneyline

The Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls first-quarter moneyline opened at 44.7% implied probability for USF on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 44.5% implied probability for USF across 16 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.2% implied probability, with net market movement toward MEM. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 8:56 PM ET.

At Tue, Nov 10, 7:04 PM ET, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USF by a median of 1.7% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls first-quarter moneyline.

Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 16-book consensus prices MEM at -135 (57.4% vig-free probability) and USF at +135 (42.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MEM -146 at FanDuel; USF +130 at DraftKings.

Every CFB first-quarter moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also notes closing-line timing (ahead of, at, or behind the release sportsbook's closing number) as a secondary entry-timing measure. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.