ENES
CFB · 1st Half SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: IU -3.8 → -5.5 (-1.7 pts)

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers 1st Half Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 17 books
USC +5.5 (13 consensus books · 17 tracked)
Market Move
IU -3.8 to -5.5 (1.8 pts toward IU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 18 · At close: 5 · Behind: 9 (32 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
USC 24.5% · IU 75.5%
Consensus Spread
IU -10
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
USC 20.3 – IU 30.3

Market Brief: USC @ IU 1st Half Spread

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USC +5.5 +101 / IU -5.5 -101 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET). Best price per side: USC +6.5 -120 at Fanatics; IU -5.5 -108 at Caesars.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from IU -3.8 to IU -5.5 (1.8 pts) across 18 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

What is the USC @ IU 1st half spread consensus line and best price per side?

USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers 1st Half Spread: vig-free consensus stands at USC +5.5 +101 / IU -5.5 -101 across 13 consensus sportsbooks (17 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET). Best price per side: USC +6.5 -120 at Fanatics; IU -5.5 -108 at Caesars.

How has the USC @ IU 1st half spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from IU -3.8 to IU -5.5 (1.8 pts) across 18 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for USC @ IU 1st half spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET).

Why is the USC @ IU 1st Half Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 2.0 pts toward IU across 12 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 2.0 pts toward IU across 18 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

USC
Vig-free consensus +5.5 +101 (49.7% across 13 books)
Best price: +6.5 -120 at Fanatics
IU
Vig-free consensus -5.5 -101 (50.3% across 13 books)
Best price: -5.5 -108 at Caesars

USC @ IU 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUSCIUExecution
BetMGM+5.5-108-5.5-110BetMGM
Caesars+5.5-114-5.5-108Caesars
DraftKings+5.5-108-5.5-112DraftKings
FanDuel+5.5-110-5.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics+6.5-120-6.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 17 sportsbooks, consensus USC +5.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: USC @ IU 1st Half Spread

The USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers first-half spread opened at IU -3.8 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at IU -5.5 across 18 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.8 pts, with net market movement toward IU. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 5:47 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 3:29 PM ET, 12 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IU by a median of 2.0 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers first-half spread.

As of Wed, Nov 11, 3:30 PM ET, vig-free implied probability has shifted +6.9% toward IU across 18 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 2.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 17 sportsbooks currently quoting the USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 13-book consensus prices USC at +5.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability) and IU at -5.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USC +6.5 -120 at Fanatics; IU -5.5 -108 at Caesars.

In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 18 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 9 (32 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB First-Half Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 66.7% of moved lines ahead of close (18 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 9 Behind close) · Sept 25–Oct 31

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date185932
Last 30 days7029

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 67% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers (1st Half Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/usc-trojans-at-indiana-hoosiers-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27504" title="USC Trojans at Indiana Hoosiers 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/usc-trojans-at-indiana-hoosiers-1h-spread-2026-11-14-27504">USC @ IU 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>