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CFB · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 13 books
23.5 (10 consensus books · 13 tracked)
Market Move
23.5 to 23.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
AUB 56.0% · MSST 44.0%
Consensus Spread
MSST +2.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
AUB 26.5 – MSST 24

Market Brief: AUB @ MSST Home Team Total

Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 23.5 -112 / Under 23.5 +112 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 23.5 -128 at FanDuel; Under 24.5 -125 at BetMGM.

The line is unchanged since open (23.5) across 14 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).

What is the AUB @ MSST home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 23.5 -112 / Under 23.5 +112 across 10 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 23.5 -128 at FanDuel; Under 24.5 -125 at BetMGM.

How has the AUB @ MSST home team total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (23.5) across 14 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for AUB @ MSST home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).

Why is the AUB @ MSST Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 23.5 -112 (52.9% across 10 books)
Best price: 23.5 -128 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 23.5 +112 (47.1% across 10 books)
Best price: 24.5 -125 at BetMGM

AUB @ MSST Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM24.5+10524.5-125BetMGM
Caesars24.5+10924.5-145Caesars
DraftKings23.5-13023.5+100DraftKings
FanDuel23.5-12823.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics24.5+10024.5-135Fanatics

Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus 23.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: AUB @ MSST Home Team Total

The Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs team total opened at 23.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 23.5 across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 10:13 AM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs team total.

Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Mississippi State Bulldogs team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 10-book consensus prices Over at 23.5 -112 (52.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 23.5 +112 (47.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 23.5 -128 at FanDuel; Under 24.5 -125 at BetMGM.

In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-11). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Team Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.0% of moved lines ahead of close (33 Ahead of close · 6 At the close · 22 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 7

Release Record — CFB team totals, since Sept 25 (Sept 25–Nov 7): 33-28, +13.2u

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3362261
Last 30 days101617

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27500" title="Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27500">AUB @ MSST Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>