Sat 11/7Commodores at Bulldogs3:15 PM CT · 4:15 PM ETKickoff in4days13hrs05min
College Football team briefing

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Commodores at Bulldogs odds, injury report and pick ·
Sat 11/7vs Commodores3:15 PM CT 4:15 PM ET
Bulldogs −3Total 48.5Bulldogs ML −145Lines at 6:15 PM CT
Bulldogs team intelligence

The Bulldogs: what our research says

Written Sat Oct 31, before the Longhorns game.

Mississippi State reaches Austin at 4-3, with a 2-2 home record and a 2-1 road record. Wins over Louisiana-Monroe, Minnesota, South Carolina and Missouri were followed by losses to Alabama, LSU and Oklahoma. The latest result was a 15-23 home loss to Oklahoma, following the 0-31 defeat at LSU.

Right nowLost 4 straight

Mississippi State is 4-3, with a 2-2 home record and a 2-1 road record. Wins over Louisiana-Monroe, Minnesota, South Carolina and Missouri were followed by losses to Alabama, LSU and Oklahoma. A 0-31 loss at LSU was followed by a 15-23 home loss to Oklahoma.

The market
  • Bulldogs spread−2.5 → −3
  • Total48.5
The news

Taylor’s absence leaves quarterback decision

Kamario Taylor’s foot injury requires surgery and has ended his season. Jeff Lebby has not announced whether Billy Puckett or AJ Swann will start against Texas. Swann has not played for Mississippi State.

Chester’s absence changes the offensive line

DJ Chester is out after starting all seven games this season. The available depth chart still lists him at left guard, so his replacement remains unconfirmed.

Bothwell returns to the backfield

Fluff Bothwell returned against Oklahoma and rushed for 111 yards on 17 carries. He has 514 rushing yards this season, with Kolin Wilson and Xavier Gayten listed behind him.

Evans remains the leading receiving option

Anthony Evans III has 53 catches for 647 yards. He leads the conference in receptions and remains the listed starter in the slot.

Injuries
Bulldogs
  • Kamario TaylorOut
  • Jalen SmithOut
  • Ayden WilliamsOut
  • Trevion WilliamsOut
  • DJ ChesterOut
  • Diesel MoyeOut
  • Isaac SmithDoubtful
  • Tyler LockhartDoubtful
Commodores
  • Colin SimmonsOut
  • Trevor GoosbyOut
  • Richard WesleyOut
The matchup
Bulldogs projected starters
  • Billy Puckett or AJ SwannQB
  • Fluff BothwellRB
  • Zion RaginsWR
  • Anthony Evans III (Slot WR)
  • Sanfrisco MageeWR
  • Sam WestTE
  • Miles McVay or Blake SteenLT
  • Not confirmedLG
  • Canon BooneC
  • LJ PrudhommeRG
  • Jakheem Shumpert-PerkinsRT
  • Amaree WilliamsJACK
  • DJ ReedDT
  • Jaray BledsoeNT
  • Will WhitsonDE
  • Fatt Forrest or AJ RiceMIKE
  • Zakari TillmanWILL
  • Jett JeffersonCB
  • Kelley JonesCB
  • Jardin GilbertS
  • Marcus WilliamsS
  • Kendel Dolby (DAWG/S)
Commodores projected starters
  • Arch ManningQB
  • Hollywood SmothersRB
  • Cam ColemanWR
  • Ryan WingoWR
  • Emmett Mosley V (Slot WR)
  • Spencer ShannonTE
  • Not confirmedLT
  • Dylan SikorskiLG
  • Connor RobertsonC
  • Brandon BakerRG
  • Melvin SianiRT
  • Zina UmeozuluDE
  • Maraad WatsonNT
  • Hero KanuDT
  • Not confirmedJACK
  • Rasheem BilesWLB
  • Justin CryerMLB
  • Graceson LittletonSTAR
  • Kade PhillipsCB
  • Kobe BlackSS
  • Jelani McDonaldFS
  • Bo MascoeCB
Updated The full read
02

Commodores at Bulldogs odds

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03

Our Bulldogs picks, graded

Wins and losses

7–3 on Bulldogs games this season · 70.0%

  • 65
    Full Game Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs +21 −110Sat 10/31
    loss+1.5 pts
  • 73
    Full Game Game Total: Under 50.5 −110Sat 10/31
    win+1 pt
  • 69
    Full Game Game Total: Under 45.5 −110Sat 10/24
    win
  • 64
    Full Game Spread: LSU Tigers -10.5 −107Sat 10/17
    win
  • 64
    Full Game Player Prop: Lotzeir Brooks Receptions under 4.5 −121Sat 10/3
    win
  • 54
    Full Game Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide -5.5 −120Sat 10/3
    win
  • 60
    1st Half Team Total: Alabama Crimson Tide Over 16.5 −115Sat 10/3
    win+7.4%
  • 66
    Full Game Team Total: Missouri Tigers Under 26.5 −105Sat 9/26
    win
  • 92
    Full Game Team Total: Mississippi State Bulldogs Under 27.5 Sat 9/12
    loss
  • 96
    1st Half Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers -0.5 Sat 9/12
    loss

The orange number is Signal strength. CLV compares our price with the closing price at the same sportsbook; shown when it is in our favor. How we grade

04

Results and against the spread

4–4 · 2–4 ATS
Record
4–4
Against the spread
2–4
Form, last 5
WLLLL
Last game
L 3-31at Longhorns
DateGameResultSpreadATS
Sat 10/31at Texas LonghornsL 3-31+20Missed
Sat 10/24vs Oklahoma SoonersL 15-23+1.5Missed
Sat 10/17at LSU TigersL 0-31+10.5Missed
Sat 10/3vs Alabama Crimson TideL 23-56+6Missed
Sat 9/26vs Missouri TigersW 31-24−3.5Covered

Spread is the Bulldogs’ closing number. ATS is against the spread at the closing number.

05

The full read on the Bulldogs

Written Sat Oct 31, before the Longhorns game.

Season so far

Mississippi State is 4-3, with a 2-2 home record and a 2-1 road record. Wins over Louisiana-Monroe, Minnesota, South Carolina and Missouri were followed by losses to Alabama, LSU and Oklahoma. A 0-31 loss at LSU was followed by a 15-23 home loss to Oklahoma.

The read

Mississippi State reaches Austin at 4-3, with a 2-2 home record and a 2-1 road record. Wins over Louisiana-Monroe, Minnesota, South Carolina and Missouri were followed by losses to Alabama, LSU and Oklahoma. The latest result was a 15-23 home loss to Oklahoma, following the 0-31 defeat at LSU.

Jeff Lebby is preparing without Kamario Taylor for the rest of the season because of a foot injury requiring surgery. Billy Puckett and AJ Swann share the quarterback listing, with no starter announced. Swann has not played for State. Starting left guard DJ Chester is also out.

Fluff Bothwell returned against Oklahoma and ran for 111 yards on 17 carries. He has 514 rushing yards this season. Anthony Evans III has 53 catches for 647 yards. Kolin Wilson and Xavier Gayten are listed behind Bothwell, while Sam West remains the leading tight end on the depth chart.

The defense also has availability concerns. Kendel Dolby has started the latest games in Isaac Smith’s absence. Smith and Tyler Lockhart are doubtful, and Jalen Smith is out for the season. Fatt Forrest shares the middle-linebacker listing with AJ Rice. Kelley Jones and Jett Jefferson remain the starting cornerbacks. The lineups are provisional, particularly Texas’s older listings and the unconfirmed injury replacements.

Written by the WagerBird research team from our own results, line captures and graded picks. Updated . How we grade →

Go deeper than the Bulldogs

06

Bulldogs questions, answered

Is there a Bulldogs pick tonight?

Yes. Our Bulldogs pick for Commodores at Bulldogs was released before kickoff at Signal strength 77. Unlock it in the Terminal.

What is the Bulldogs' record this season?

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-3: 2-2 at home and 2-1 on the road.

Who is on the Bulldogs injury report?

The Bulldogs list Kamario Taylor (Out), Jalen Smith (Out), Ayden Williams (Out), Trevion Williams (Out), DJ Chester (Out), Diesel Moye (Out), Isaac Smith (Doubtful), Tyler Lockhart (Doubtful).