Why is the AUB @ MSST spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 38 books
- AUB -2.5 (33 consensus books · 38 tracked)
- Market Move
- MSST +2.5 to +2.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB spreads: 84 Beat / 11 Tied / 53 Lost (148 measured)
Why is the AUB @ MSST spread moving?
- Market consensus moved from MSST +3 to MSST +2.5 across 13 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
AUB @ MSST Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | AUB | MSST | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -3-105 | +3-115 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -2.5-121 | +2.5+101 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | -2.5-115 | +2.5-105 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -2.5-120 | +2.5+100 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -2.5-115 | +2.5-105 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | -2.5-107 | +2.5+103 | ProphetX |
Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus AUB -2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: AUB @ MSST Spread
The Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs spread opened at MSST +2.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:15 AM CT) and currently sits at MSST +2.5 across 40 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 11:00 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 1:46 PM CT.
At Tue, Nov 10, 8:44 AM CT, the market consensus moved through 3, shifting from MSST +3 to MSST +2.5 toward MSST. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 3 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.
Across the 38 sportsbooks currently quoting the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 33-book consensus prices AUB at -2.5 -105 (51.2% vig-free probability) and MSST at +2.5 +105 (48.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: AUB -2.5 -107 at ProphetX; MSST +3 -115 at BetMGM.
In the CFB spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 84 times, tied 11, and lost 53 season to date (148 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (84 Beat, 11 Tied, 53 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 84 | 11 | 53 | 148 | 61.3% |
| Last 30 days | 55 | 4 | 31 | 90 | 64.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-spread-2026-11-14-27500" title="Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-spread-2026-11-14-27500">AUB @ MSST Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>