Why is the AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 14 books
- AUB -103 (14 consensus books · 14 tracked)
- Market Move
- MSST 49.8% to 52.4% (2.6% implied probability toward MSST)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB first-quarter moneylines: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)
Why is the AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (3.2% implied probability) toward MSST across 8 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | AUB | MSST | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -108 | -120 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | -113 | -114 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +100 | -130 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | -110 | -106 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | -105 | -125 | Fanatics |
Full market: 14 sportsbooks, consensus AUB -103. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Moneyline
The Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter moneyline opened at 49.8% implied probability for MSST on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 6:15 AM CT) and currently sits at 52.4% implied probability for MSST across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward MSST. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 11:00 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 1:04 PM CT.
At Tue, Nov 10, 10:15 AM CT, 8 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward MSST by a median of 3.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter moneyline.
Across the 14 sportsbooks currently quoting the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 14-book consensus prices AUB at -103 (50.7% vig-free probability) and MSST at +103 (49.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: AUB +100 at DraftKings; MSST -106 at FanDuel.
WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every CFB first-quarter moneylines release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.
CFB First-Quarter Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-09).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1st Quarter Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27500" title="Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1q-moneyline-2026-11-14-27500">AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>