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CFB · 1st Quarter TotalMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 10.5 → 9.5 (-1.0 pts)

Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Quarter Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 16 books
9.5 (9 consensus books · 16 tracked)
Market Move
10.5 to 9.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
AUB 56.0% · MSST 44.0%
Consensus Spread
MSST +2.5
Consensus Total
50.5
Market-Implied Score
AUB 26.5 – MSST 24

Market Brief: AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Total

Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Quarter Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 9.5 -127 / Under 9.5 +127 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 9.5 -140 at DraftKings; Under 10.5 -144 at FanDuel.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 10.5 to 9.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 17 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).

What is the AUB @ MSST 1st quarter total consensus line and best price per side?

Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Quarter Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 9.5 -127 / Under 9.5 +127 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (16 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET). Best price per side: Over 9.5 -140 at DraftKings; Under 10.5 -144 at FanDuel.

How has the AUB @ MSST 1st quarter total moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from 10.5 to 9.5 toward Under (1.0 pt) across 17 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for AUB @ MSST 1st quarter total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET).

Why is the AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 9.5 -127 (55.9% across 9 books)
Best price: 9.5 -140 at DraftKings
Under
Vig-free consensus 9.5 +127 (44.1% across 9 books)
Best price: 10.5 -144 at FanDuel

AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM9.5-1459.5+115BetMGM
Caesars9.5-1489.5+114Caesars
DraftKings9.5-1409.5+110DraftKings
FanDuel10.5+11810.5-144FanDuel
Fanatics10.5+11510.5-155Fanatics

Full market: 16 sportsbooks, consensus 9.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Total

The Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter total opened at 10.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 9.5 across 17 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:02 PM ET.

At Tue, Nov 10, 5:26 PM ET, 3 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter total.

Across the 16 sportsbooks currently quoting the Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs first-quarter total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices Over at 9.5 -127 (55.9% vig-free probability) and Under at 9.5 +127 (44.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 9.5 -140 at DraftKings; Under 10.5 -144 at FanDuel.

Every CFB first-quarter game totals release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1st Quarter Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1q-total-2026-11-14-27500" title="Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/auburn-tigers-at-mississippi-state-bulldogs-1q-total-2026-11-14-27500">AUB @ MSST 1st Quarter Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>